Croatia: Poll by 2x1 Komunikacije from 28.09.2024

Polling data

HDZ
36.5
-0.3
SDP
25.3
+0.1
M
8.6
+0.3
Most
7.6
+0.1
DP
5.9
-2.6
CENTAR
2.5
±0.0
HSU
2.1
+0.5
IDS
2.1
±0.0
HS
1.5
±0.0
Others
7.9
+1.9
Development since the last election on 17.04.2024
HDZ
+2.1
SDP
-0.1
M
-0.5
Most
-0.4
DP
-3.7
CENTAR
New
HSU
New
IDS
-0.1
HS
New
2x1 Komunikacije – 1041 respondents – 13.09.2024-28.09.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates HDZ lower

In 63% of election polls 2x1 Komunikacije rates HDZ lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Možemo! lower

In 32% of election polls 2x1 Komunikacije rates Možemo! lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDP higher

In 39% of election polls, 2x1 Komunikacije rates SDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Croatia from 2x1 Komunikacije shows the following results: HDZ 36.5%, SDP 25.3%, Možemo! 8.6%, Most 7.6%, DP 5.9%, Centar 2.5%, HSU 2.1%, IDS 2.1% and Hrvatski suverenisti 1.5%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, HDZ might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.1 growth since the last election. DP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from HDZ and DP. With 50.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by 2x1 Komunikacije. For this purpose, 1041 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 15 days (13.09.2024 - 28.09.2024).

Coalition possibilities

151
Majority requires 76 seats
M
15
9.9%
SDP
46
30.5%
HDZ
66
43.7%
Most
14
9.3%
DP
10
6.6%
HDZ + SDP
74.2%
HDZ + Most
53.0%
HDZ + DP
50.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Croatia was conducted by 2x1 Komunikacije. The survey took place between 13.09.2024 and 28.09.2024 among 1041 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 36.5%, SDP 25.3%, Možemo! 8.6%, Most 7.6%, DP 5.9%, Centar 2.5%, HSU 2.1%, IDS 2.1% and Hrvatski suverenisti 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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