Croatia: Poll by Ipsos from 20.11.2024

Polling data

HDZ
33.3
-2.5
SDP
24.3
-1.7
M
12.1
+0.8
Most
8.0
-0.8
DP
5.5
+1.9
Others
16.8
+2.3
Development since the last election on 17.04.2024
HDZ
-1.1
SDP
-1.1
M
+3.0
Most
±0.0
DP
-4.1
Ipsos – 986 respondents – 01.11.2024-20.11.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Croatia from Ipsos shows the following results: HDZ 33.3%, SDP 24.3%, Možemo! 12.1%, Most 8% and DP 5.5%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, Možemo! might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.0 growth since the last election. DP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from HDZ and DP. With 47.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 986 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 19 days (01.11.2024 - 20.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

151
Majority requires 76 seats
M
22
14.6%
SDP
44
29.1%
HDZ
61
40.4%
Most
14
9.3%
DP
10
6.6%
HDZ + SDP
69.5%
HDZ + Most + DP
56.3%
HDZ + Most
49.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Croatia was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 01.11.2024 and 20.11.2024 among 986 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 33.3%, SDP 24.3%, Možemo! 12.1%, Most 8% and DP 5.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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