Croatia: Poll by Promocija PLUS from 05.12.2024

Polling data

HDZ
32.3
-0.3
SDP
27.1
-0.7
M
11.9
+1.1
Most
7.7
-0.2
DP
3.3
-0.4
CENTAR
2.1
+0.4
DOM
1.8
-0.4
HNS
1.7
+0.5
IDS
1.7
-0.1
HSU
1.4
+0.2
HSS
1.2
-0.4
Fokus
1.1
±0.0
HS
1.0
+0.3
NPS
1.0
±0.0
PP
0.8
+0.1
RF
0.8
-0.5
HSLS
0.5
-0.1
OiP
0.5
-0.3
Others
2.1
+0.8
Development since the last election on 17.04.2024
HDZ
-2.1
SDP
+1.7
M
+2.8
Most
-0.3
DP
-6.3
CENTAR
New
DOM
New
HNS
New
IDS
-0.5
HSU
New
HSS
New
Fokus
-1.2
HS
New
NPS
New
PP
New
RF
New
HSLS
New
OiP
New
Promocija PLUS – 1300 respondents – 02.12.2024-05.12.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates HSU lower

In 69% of election polls Promocija PLUS rates HSU lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Možemo! higher

In 30% of election polls, Promocija PLUS rates Možemo! higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDP higher

In 36% of election polls, Promocija PLUS rates SDP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Croatia from Promocija PLUS shows the following results: HDZ 32.3%, SDP 27.1%, Možemo! 11.9%, Most 7.7%, DP 3.3%, Centar 2.1%, DOMiNO 1.8%, HNS 1.7%, IDS 1.7%, HSU 1.4%, HSS 1.2%, Fokus 1.1%, Hrvatski suverenisti 1%, NPS 1%, PP 0.8%, RF 0.8%, HSLS 0.5% and OiP 0.5%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, Možemo! might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.8 growth since the last election. DP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from HDZ and DP. With 41.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Promocija PLUS. For this purpose, 1300 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (02.12.2024 - 05.12.2024).

Coalition possibilities

151
Majority requires 76 seats
M
23
15.2%
SDP
52
34.4%
HDZ
62
41.1%
Most
14
9.3%
HDZ + SDP
75.5%
HDZ + Most
50.3%
SDP + Možemo!
49.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Croatia was conducted by Promocija PLUS. The survey took place between 02.12.2024 and 05.12.2024 among 1300 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 32.3%, SDP 27.1%, Možemo! 11.9%, Most 7.7%, DP 3.3%, Centar 2.1%, DOMiNO 1.8%, HNS 1.7%, IDS 1.7%, HSU 1.4%, HSS 1.2%, Fokus 1.1%, Hrvatski suverenisti 1%, NPS 1%, PP 0.8%, RF 0.8%, HSLS 0.5% and OiP 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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