Croatia: Poll by Ipsos from 20.04.2025

Croatia: Polling data

HDZ
29.1
-2.3
SDP
28.4
-0.8
M
12.0
-1.2
Most
6.4
-0.4
DP
4.8
+0.5
DOM
2.8
+2.8
Others
16.5
+1.4
Development since the last election on 17.04.2024
HDZ
-5.3
SDP
+3.0
M
+2.9
Most
-1.6
DP
-4.8
DOM
New
Ipsos – 990 respondents – 01.04.2025-20.04.2025

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates HDZ higher

In 46% of election polls, Ipsos rates HDZ higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDP lower

In 54% of election polls Ipsos rates SDP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Croatia from Ipsos shows the following results: HDZ 29.1%, SDP 28.4%, Možemo! 12%, Most 6.4%, DP 4.8% and DOMiNO 2.8%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, SDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.0 growth since the last election. HDZ, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from HDZ and DP. With 38.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 990 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 19 days (01.04.2025 - 20.04.2025).

Coalition possibilities

151
Majority requires 76 seats
M
24
15.9%
SDP
57
37.7%
HDZ
58
38.4%
Most
12
7.9%
HDZ + SDP
76.2%
SDP + Možemo!
53.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Croatia was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 01.04.2025 and 20.04.2025 among 990 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 29.1%, SDP 28.4%, Možemo! 12%, Most 6.4%, DP 4.8% and DOMiNO 2.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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