Croatia: Poll by Ninamedia from 13.12.2018

Polling data

HDZ
23.4
±0.0
SDP
17.1
±0.0
KH
8.3
±0.0
Most
4.8
±0.0
NHR
3.2
±0.0
GLAS
2.9
±0.0
BM365
1.8
±0.0
IDS
1.7
±0.0
HSS
0.9
±0.0
HNS
0.7
±0.0
Others
35.2
±0.0
Development since the last election on 17.04.2024
HDZ
-11.0
SDP
-8.3
KH
New
Most
-3.2
NHR
New
GLAS
New
BM365
New
IDS
-0.5
HSS
New
HNS
New
Ninamedia – 959 respondents – 07.12.2018-13.12.2018

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Croatia from Ninamedia shows the following results: HDZ 23.4%, SDP 17.1%, KH 8.3%, Most 4.8%, Neovisni za Hrvatsku 3.2%, GLAS 2.9%, BM 365 1.8%, IDS 1.7%, HSS 0.9% and HNS 0.7%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, IDS might gain the most in voter favorability with -0.5 growth since the last election. HDZ, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from HDZ and DP. With 48.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ninamedia. For this purpose, 959 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (07.12.2018 - 13.12.2018).

Coalition possibilities

151
Majority requires 76 seats
SDP
53
35%
KH
25
17%
HDZ
73
48%
HDZ + SDP
83.4%
HDZ + KH
64.9%
SDP + KH
51.7%
HDZ
48.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Croatia was conducted by Ninamedia. The survey took place between 07.12.2018 and 13.12.2018 among 959 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 23.4%, SDP 17.1%, KH 8.3%, Most 4.8%, Neovisni za Hrvatsku 3.2%, GLAS 2.9%, BM 365 1.8%, IDS 1.7%, HSS 0.9% and HNS 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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