Croatia: Poll by IPSOS PLUS from 20.03.2020

Polling data

HDZ
25.2
-1.0
SDP
23.7
-2.9
NLMŠ
12.5
+1.8
Most
4.4
-0.2
KH
3.0
+1.2
P
2.3
+0.1
BM365
1.7
-0.4
IDS
1.6
-1.5
HNS
1.3
+0.6
HSS
1.3
-1.3
Others
23.0
+3.6
Development since the last election on 17.04.2024
HDZ
-9.2
SDP
-1.7
NLMŠ
New
Most
-3.6
KH
New
P
New
BM365
New
IDS
-0.6
HNS
New
HSS
New
IPSOS PLUS – 992 respondents – 01.03.2020-20.03.2020

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Croatia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Croatia from IPSOS PLUS shows the following results: HDZ 25.2%, SDP 23.7%, Nezavisna lista Miroslava Škore 12.5%, Most 4.4%, KH 3%, Pametno 2.3%, BM 365 1.7%, IDS 1.6%, HNS 1.3% and HSS 1.3%. If an election were held in Croatia this Sunday, IDS might gain the most in voter favorability with -0.6 growth since the last election. HDZ, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Andrej Plenković is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from HDZ and DP. With 41.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by IPSOS PLUS. For this purpose, 992 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 19 days (01.03.2020 - 20.03.2020).

Coalition possibilities

151
Majority requires 76 seats
SDP
58
38.6%
HDZ
62
41%
NLMŠ
31
20.4%
HDZ + SDP
79.5%
SDP
38.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Croatia was conducted by IPSOS PLUS. The survey took place between 01.03.2020 and 20.03.2020 among 992 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HDZ 25.2%, SDP 23.7%, Nezavisna lista Miroslava Škore 12.5%, Most 4.4%, KH 3%, Pametno 2.3%, BM 365 1.7%, IDS 1.6%, HNS 1.3% and HSS 1.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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