Current election polls and polling data from CYMAR

Latest voting intention survey by CYMAR for Cyprus

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Cyprus conducted by CYMAR, the parties received the following results: DISY 26.9%, AKEL 22.9%, DIKO 14.3%, KOSP 7.1%, ELAM 6.2%, SYPOL 6%, DIPA 2.7%, ΚΑ 1.7% and APC 1.4%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1130 people during the period 12.05.2021 - 12.05.2021. The survey was commissioned by ANT1.
1130 participants
04.05.2021 - 12.05.2021
CYMAR
ANT1
DISY
26.9
-1.2
AKEL
22.9
-1.7
DIKO
14.3
+2.3
KOSP
7.1
+0.6
ELAM
6.2
-2.3
SYPOL
6.0
+1.2
DIPA
2.7
+0.1
KA
1.7
+1.0
APC
1.4
+0.4
Others
10.8
-0.4
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

56
Majority requires 29 seats
AKEL
16
28.6%
DIKO
10
17.9%
KOSP
4
7.1%
SYPOL
4
7.1%
DISY
18
32.1%
ELAM
4
7.1%
DISY + DIKO + KOSP
57.1%
DISY + DIKO + SYPOL
57.1%
AKEL + DIKO + KOSP
53.6%
AKEL + DIKO + SYPOL
53.6%
DISY + DIKO
50.0%

?

PolitPro Score

CYMAR achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AKEL
Not enough data available
APC
Not enough data available
DIKO
Not enough data available
DIPA
Not enough data available
DISY
Not enough data available
ELAM
Not enough data available
KA
Not enough data available
KOSP
Not enough data available
SYPOL
Not enough data available

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.4

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in CYMAR pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.4 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.42
Parliamentary Election in Zypern 2021 3/6

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.