Latest Opinion Poll for Cyprus (RetailZoom, May 14, 2020)

May 13, 2020 - May 14, 2020

2155 respondents

Next General Election in Cyprus: May 24, 2026

The next General Election in Cyprus takes place in 39 days.

Cyprus' Incumbent Government Lacks Majority

Based on the RetailZoom projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 5.4% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from RetailZoom?

In the latest opinion poll for the election in Cyprus, conducted by RetailZoom on May 14, 2020, DISY leads with 42.2%. Trailing are AKEL: 29.5%, DIKO: 5.2%, KOSP: 5.1%, ELAM: 5%, ΚΑ: 2.6%, EDEK: 1.3% and SYPOL: 1.3%. Other parties secure 7.8% of the votes.

Current Election Trend: Cyprus
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Quality Check: How Reliable is the RetailZoom Projection?

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PolitPro Score

RetailZoom achieved a PolitPro Score of ? out of 100.

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Election Accuracy

On average, RetailZoom's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

RetailZoom at a Glance
Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias
Which institutes are the most reliable?
Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

56
Majority requires 29 seats

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the election in Cyprus is 3.5%.

DISY
Centre-Right
50.0%
AKEL + DIKO + KOSP
Left
44.6%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: RetailZoom)

According to data from RetailZoom, 5 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Cyprus parliament: DISY with 28 representatives, AKEL with 19 representatives, DIKO with 3 representatives, KOSP with 3 representatives and ELAM with 3 representatives.

The Electoral System in Cyprus

Cyprus's House of Representatives (Vouli ton Antiprosopon) is elected through a proportional representation system across six constituencies. These constituencies align with the island's administrative districts. While 80 seats are allocated, only 56 are effectively filled; the 24 seats reserved for the Turkish-Cypriot community have remained vacant since the constitutional conflicts of 1963/64. Voters can influence the selection of specific candidates within a party list through preference votes, fostering intra-party competition.

Electoral Thresholds

To enter the Cypriot Parliament, parties must clear a nationwide electoral threshold, raised to 3.6% of valid votes in 2015. Meeting this threshold is crucial for parties to participate in seat allocation during the second and third phases of the counting process. The threshold increase aimed to prevent excessive parliamentary fragmentation and foster more stable majorities, while still allowing smaller political movements a realistic chance at representation.

Government Formation and Traditions

Cyprus operates as a presidential republic, strictly separating its executive and legislative branches. The President, directly elected by the people, serves as both head of state and head of government. The President independently forms their cabinet, distinct from parliamentary influence. However, for stable legislation, the President relies on majorities within the House of Representatives, often leading to the formation of parliamentary alliances or coalitions. These alliances are frequently purpose-driven, formed to pass critical legislative initiatives or the state budget.

Coalition Calculator
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Data Sources and Methodology

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