Latest Opinion Poll for Cyprus (Symmetron, June 25, 2020)

June 19, 2020 - June 25, 2020

600 respondents

Next General election in Cyprus: May 24, 2026

The next General election in Cyprus takes place in 71 days.

Cyprus' Incumbent Government Lacks Majority

Based on the Symmetron projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 25.0% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Symmetron?

In the latest opinion poll for the election in Cyprus, conducted by Symmetron on June 25, 2020, DISY leads with 38.9%. Trailing are AKEL: 25.5%, DIKO: 14.6%, EDEK: 5%, ELAM: 4.7%, KOSP: 4.7%, DIPA: 3.6%, ΚΑ: 1.6% and SYPOL: 1.3%. Other parties secure 0.1% of the votes.

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Symmetron Projection?

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the election in Cyprus is 3.5%.

DISY + ALMA + DIKO + Állon Drómon
Centre-Right
53.6%
AKEL + ALMA + DIKO + Állon Drómon
Centre-Left
53.6%
DISY + ALMA + DIKO + Volt
Centre-Right
50.0%
AKEL + ALMA + DIKO + Volt
Centre-Left
50.0%
DISY + ALMA + DIKO
Centre-Right
46.4%
AKEL + ALMA + DIKO
Centre-Left
46.4%
DISY + ALMA + Állon Drómon
Centre-Right
44.6%
AKEL + ALMA + Állon Drómon
Left
44.6%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: IMR/Unic)

According to data from IMR/Unic, 7 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Cyprus parliament: DISY with 14 representatives, AKEL with 14 representatives, ELAM with 10 representatives, ALMA with 7 representatives, DIKO with 5 representatives, Állon Drómon with 4 representatives and Volt with 2 representatives.

The Electoral System in Cyprus

Cyprus's House of Representatives (Vouli ton Antiprosopon) is elected through a proportional representation system across six constituencies. These constituencies align with the island's administrative districts. While 80 seats are allocated, only 56 are effectively filled; the 24 seats reserved for the Turkish-Cypriot community have remained vacant since the constitutional conflicts of 1963/64. Voters can influence the selection of specific candidates within a party list through preference votes, fostering intra-party competition.

Electoral Thresholds

To enter the Cypriot Parliament, parties must clear a nationwide electoral threshold, raised to 3.6% of valid votes in 2015. Meeting this threshold is crucial for parties to participate in seat allocation during the second and third phases of the counting process. The threshold increase aimed to prevent excessive parliamentary fragmentation and foster more stable majorities, while still allowing smaller political movements a realistic chance at representation.

Government Formation and Traditions

Cyprus operates as a presidential republic, strictly separating its executive and legislative branches. The President, directly elected by the people, serves as both head of state and head of government. The President independently forms their cabinet, distinct from parliamentary influence. However, for stable legislation, the President relies on majorities within the House of Representatives, often leading to the formation of parliamentary alliances or coalitions. These alliances are frequently purpose-driven, formed to pass critical legislative initiatives or the state budget.

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

Found a Mistake?

Political data is constantly evolving. If you spot an error, please let us know. A brief reference to your source will help us verify and update the information.