Latest Election Polls by Stratego-IMR

About Stratego-IMR

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PolitPro Score

Stratego-IMR achieved a PolitPro Score of ? out of 100.

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Election Accuracy

On average, Stratego-IMR's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Party Analysis: Statistical Deviations by Stratego-IMR

Historical Polls vs. Election Trend (in %)

Lower
Consistent
Higher
AKEL
Left-wing
Állon Drómon
Centre-Left
ALMA
Transversal
DIKO
Conservative
DIPA
Centre
DISY
Conservative
EDEK
Social Democratic
ELAM
Right-wing Populist
KEKK
Transversal
KOSP
Centre-Left
Volt
Centre-Left

How is the data calculated?

The PolitPro Election Trend serves as the benchmark, using a time-weighted average of all current surveys. A poll value is flagged if it deviates by more than one percentage point from this trend.

Performance Track Record: Historical Accuracy of Stratego-IMR

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Election Accuracy

On average, Stratego-IMR's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from Actual Results (Historical)

How is election accuracy calculated?

Accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls aligned with actual election results. We compare final surveys from various institutes with official outcomes. To do this, we calculate the average deviation across all parties that received at least 3% of the vote. Most election polls have a standard margin of error of 2-3 percentage points. We categorize average deviations as follows: up to 1 percentage point is "very good" (green); up to 2 points is "good" (yellow); up to 3 points is "acceptable" (orange), though this may indicate significant outliers for specific parties. Deviations exceeding 3 percentage points suggest a lack of predictive power and are rated "poor" (red).

Data Sources and Methodology

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