Latest polls from Kantar
34
16
9
8.5
6
4.5
4
3
3
2.5
2.5
2.5
4.5
32
15.5
11
9
7.5
5
3.5
3.5
3
2.5
2.5
5
34.5
16
10.5
8
6.5
4.5
3
3
3
2.5
2.5
2
2
2
35
15.5
9.5
9.5
6.5
5
4
3.5
3.5
3
2.5
2.5
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Kantar pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.5 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Kantar's average ranking is 6.9.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
1x the third best prediction
4
1x on rank 4
5
1x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6
7
1x on rank 7
8
0x on rank 8
10
0x on rank 10
11
1x on rank 11