Latest voting intention survey by Median for Czech Republic
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Czech Republic conducted by Median, the parties received the following results: ANO 2011 33.5%, ODS 11.5%, STAN 10%, Auto 6.5%, KSČM 6.5%, Piráti 6.5%, SPD 6.5%, TOP 09 4.5%, SOCDEM 4%, KDU-ČSL 2.5%, Zelení 2.5% and Přísaha 2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1023 people during the period 30.11.2024 - 30.11.2024.
1023 participants
01.11.2024 - 30.11.2024
Median
Development since the last election on 09.10.2021
Seats in parliament
200
Majority requires 101 seats
KSČM
16
8%
Piráti
16
8%
ANO
84
42%
STAN
24
12%
ODS
28
14%
Auto
16
8%
SPD
16
8%
ANO 2011 + Piráti + Auto
ANO 2011 + SPD + Auto
ANO 2011 + ODS
ANO 2011 + STAN
ANO 2011 + Piráti
ANO 2011 + SPD
ANO 2011 + Auto
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Piráti lower
In 33% of election polls Median rates Piráti lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.2
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Median pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.2 percentage points.
Average deviation of pre-election polls from the last election results
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.16
|
Parliamentary Election in Tschechien 2021 | 2/4 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
We compare pre-election polls from the institutes with the actual election results. This involves calculating the average deviation of party values and deriving an overall average. All parties with an election result of 3% or higher are included in the calculation.