Latest polls from Median
Rating of parties
Institute often rates Piráti lower
In 50% of election polls Median rates Piráti lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Piráti + STAN lower
In 36% of election polls Median rates Piráti + STAN lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Trikolóra lower
In 33% of election polls Median rates Trikolóra lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Median pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.2 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Median's average ranking is 2.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
1x the second best prediction