Current election polls and polling data from Median

Latest voting intention survey by Median for Czech Republic

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Czech Republic conducted by Median, the parties received the following results: ANO 2011 32.5%, SPOLU 18.5%, STAN 13%, Piráti 8%, SPD 7.5%, Auto 6%, Stačilo! 5.5% and SOCDEM 2.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1025 people during the period 31.03.2025 - 31.03.2025.
1025 participants
01.03.2025 - 31.03.2025
Median
ANO
32.5
-1.5
SPOLU
18.5
±0.0
STAN
13.0
+3.0
Piráti
8.0
+2.0
SPD
7.5
+0.5
Auto
6.0
-2.0
Stač
5.5
-1.0
SOCDEM
2.5
-1.0
Others
6.5
±0.0

Seats in parliament

200
Majority requires 101 seats
Stač
12
6%
Piráti
17
8.5%
STAN
29
14.5%
ANO
72
36%
SPOLU
41
20.5%
SPD
16
8%
Auto
13
6.5%
ANO 2011 + SPOLU
56.5%
ANO 2011 + SPOLU
56.5%
ANO 2011 + Piráti + Auto
51.0%
ANO 2011 + Piráti + Auto
51.0%
ANO 2011 + STAN
50.5%
ANO 2011 + STAN
50.5%
ANO 2011 + SPD + Auto
50.5%
ANO 2011 + Piráti + Stačilo!
50.5%
ANO 2011 + SPD + Stačilo!
50.0%
SPOLU + STAN + SPD + Auto
49.5%

64

PolitPro Score

Median achieves a score of 64/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
ANO
11
65
24
Auto
0
50
50
Piráti
31
49
20
SOCDEM
0
82
18
SPD
10
77
13
SPOLU
21
64
14
STAN
10
76
14
Stač
Not enough data available

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

2.2

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Median pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.2 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
2.16
Parliamentary Election in Tschechien 2021 2/4

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.