Latest polls from STEM
33.2
12
11.6
10.2
6.4
5.2
4.5
3.5
3
2.3
1.9
1.6
1.2
3.4
30.8
13.1
10.9
9.6
5.4
5.3
5
4.3
4
3.2
2.8
2.7
1.2
1.1
0.6
33.5
14.6
10.8
9.3
5.8
4.7
4.1
3.8
3.4
2.9
2.3
2.2
1.4
1.2
Rating of parties
Institute often rates ANO 2011 higher
In 53% of election polls, STEM rates ANO 2011 higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ODS lower
In 40% of election polls STEM rates ODS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Piráti lower
In 33% of election polls STEM rates Piráti lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 47% of election polls, STEM rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in STEM pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.2 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, STEM's average ranking is 4.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
1x on rank 4