Czech Republic: Poll by STEM from 11.10.2024

Czech Republic: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
ANO
32.1
-1.3
ODS
14.2
-0.7
STAN
10.6
+3.8
SPD
9.4
+2.0
Piráti
5.9
-1.9
KSČM
5.3
+0.7
Přísaha
4.6
+1.3
TOP 09
3.7
-1.9
Auto
3.2
+0.6
KDU
2.7
-0.8
SOCDEM
2.6
-0.2
S
1.6
-0.2
THO
1.1
+0.1
Z
1.1
-1.6
Others
1.9
+0.1
Development since the last election on 09.10.2021
ANO
+5.0
ODS
New
STAN
New
SPD
-0.2
Piráti
New
KSČM
+1.7
Přísaha
-0.1
TOP 09
New
Auto
New
KDU
New
SOCDEM
New
S
New
THO
New
Z
New
STEM – 1093 respondents – 02.10.2024-11.10.2024

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Czech Republic is expected to take place in 2025.

Institute often rates ANO 2011 higher

In 39% of election polls, STEM rates ANO 2011 higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates ODS lower

In 36% of election polls STEM rates ODS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SPD higher

In 48% of election polls, STEM rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates STAN lower

In 31% of election polls STEM rates STAN lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Czech Republic - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Czech Republic from STEM shows the following results: ANO 2011 32.1%, ODS 14.2%, STAN 10.6%, SPD 9.4%, Piráti 5.9%, KSČM 5.3%, Přísaha 4.6%, TOP 09 3.7%, Auto 3.2%, KDU-ČSL 2.7%, SOCDEM 2.6%, Svobodní 1.6%, Trikolóra 1.1% and Zelení 1.1%. If an election were held in Czech Republic this Sunday, ANO 2011 might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.0 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petr Fiala is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from ODS, Piráti, KDU-ČSL, TOP 09 and STAN. With 39.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by STEM. For this purpose, 1093 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (02.10.2024 - 11.10.2024).

Coalition possibilities

200
Majority requires 101 seats
KSČM
13
6.5%
Piráti
15
7.5%
ANO
84
42%
STAN
27
13.5%
ODS
37
18.5%
SPD
24
12%
ANO 2011 + ODS
60.5%
ANO 2011 + STAN
55.5%
ANO 2011 + SPD
54.0%
ANO 2011 + Piráti
49.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Czech Republic was conducted by STEM. The survey took place between 02.10.2024 and 11.10.2024 among 1093 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ANO 2011 32.1%, ODS 14.2%, STAN 10.6%, SPD 9.4%, Piráti 5.9%, KSČM 5.3%, Přísaha 4.6%, TOP 09 3.7%, Auto 3.2%, KDU-ČSL 2.7%, SOCDEM 2.6%, Svobodní 1.6%, Trikolóra 1.1% and Zelení 1.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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