Czech Republic: Poll by STEM from 08.11.2024

Polling data

ANO
33.7
+1.6
SPOLU
21.1
+21.1
SPD
8.9
-0.5
STAN
8.4
-2.2
Piráti
5.9
±0.0
KSČM
5.5
+0.2
Auto
4.1
+0.9
SOCDEM
3.0
+0.4
Přísaha
2.6
-2.0
Z
2.4
+1.3
S
2.1
+0.5
PRO
1.1
+1.1
THO
0.6
-0.5
Others
0.6
-21.9
Development since the last election on 09.10.2021
ANO
+6.6
SPOLU
-6.7
SPD
-0.7
STAN
New
Piráti
New
KSČM
+1.9
Auto
New
SOCDEM
New
Přísaha
-2.1
Z
New
S
New
PRO
New
THO
New
STEM – 1081 respondents – 31.10.2024-08.11.2024

Next election: 2025

The next parliamentary election in Czech Republic is expected to take place in 2025.

Institute often rates ANO 2011 higher

In 41% of election polls, STEM rates ANO 2011 higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SPD higher

In 48% of election polls, STEM rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates STAN lower

In 35% of election polls STEM rates STAN lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Czech Republic - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Czech Republic from STEM shows the following results: ANO 2011 33.7%, SPOLU 21.1%, SPD 8.9%, STAN 8.4%, Piráti 5.9%, KSČM 5.5%, Auto 4.1%, SOCDEM 3%, Přísaha 2.6%, Zelení 2.4%, Svobodní 2.1%, PRO 1.1% and Trikolóra 0.6%. If an election were held in Czech Republic this Sunday, ANO 2011 might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.6 growth since the last election. SPOLU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Petr Fiala is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from ODS, Piráti, KDU-ČSL, TOP 09 and STAN. With 17.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by STEM. For this purpose, 1081 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (31.10.2024 - 08.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

200
Majority requires 101 seats
KSČM
13
6.5%
Piráti
14
7%
ANO
81
40.5%
SPOLU
51
25.5%
STAN
20
10%
SPD
21
10.5%
ANO 2011 + SPOLU
66.0%
ANO 2011 + SPD
51.0%
ANO 2011 + STAN
50.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Czech Republic was conducted by STEM. The survey took place between 31.10.2024 and 08.11.2024 among 1081 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ANO 2011 33.7%, SPOLU 21.1%, SPD 8.9%, STAN 8.4%, Piráti 5.9%, KSČM 5.5%, Auto 4.1%, SOCDEM 3%, Přísaha 2.6%, Zelení 2.4%, Svobodní 2.1%, PRO 1.1% and Trikolóra 0.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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