2 election comparisons
Czechia Median: election poll for the Czech Chamber of Deputies election from 31 July 2026
Voting Intention Poll for the Czech Chamber of Deputies Election
The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. Median: single poll for the Czech Chamber of Deputies election, fieldwork concluded 31 July 2026.
Changes since the last election on 4 October 2025
- Institute
- Median
- Survey Period
- 01/07/2026 – 31/07/2026
- Respondents
- 1,022
Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 54.5% of the parliamentary seats.
Who is leading according to the poll by Median?
Who is leading according to the poll by Median?
A recent voting intention poll for Czechia by Median shows ANO 2011 leading with 34%, followed by STAN with 15%, ODS with 12%, Piráti with 8%, SPD with 7.5%, Motoristé with 4.5%, KDU-ČSL with 3.5%, KSČM with 3.5%, Naše Česko with 3.5% and TOP 09 with 3%. Other parties achieve 5.5% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
What do the symbols mean?
To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.
- Far-Left
- Left
- Centre-Left
- Center
- Transversal
- Unknown
- Centre-Right
- Right
- Far-Right
- Liberal
- Environment & Climate
- Regional
- Animal Welfare
- Satire
Seat projection based on this poll
Last on 31 July 2026
Deviations from the Election Trend
What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?
What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?
In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.
Coalition calculator: majorities based on this poll
Parties
Select parties to test coalitions.
Scenarios: What if...?
Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 5%.
PolitPro Analysis
Probability of an Absolute Majority
-
ANO
2%
-
STAN
0%
-
ODS
0%
Probability of Election Victory
-
ANO
100%
-
STAN
<1%
-
ODS
<1%
Probability of Entering Parliament
-
Piráti
97%
-
SPD
96%
-
Moto
32%
-
KDU
9%
-
KSČM
10%
-
NČ
9%
-
TOP 09
4%
How does the PolitPro Analysis work?
How does the PolitPro Analysis work?
Election polls are not predictions, but snapshots with statistical fluctuations. To obtain a realistic picture, we daily simulate 100,000 election outcomes based on the PolitPro Election Trend using the 'Monte Carlo method'. In doing so, we include typical voter migration and political trends. Our algorithm tests various scenarios – from small shifts within camps to political surprises – to determine the actual chances of success for parties and coalitions.
Median: Projected composition of parliament
Median: Projected composition of parliament
Based on this poll, 5 parties would clear the electoral threshold and enter the Czech Chamber of Deputies: ANO 2011 with 90 seats, STAN with 39 seats, ODS with 31 seats, Piráti with 21 seats and SPD with 19 seats.
The Electoral System in Czechia
The Electoral System in Czechia
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Electoral Threshold and Hurdles
Electoral Threshold and Hurdles
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Government formation and coalition traditions
Government formation and coalition traditions
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