Current election polls and polling data from Gallup

Latest voting intention survey by Gallup for Denmark

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Denmark conducted by Gallup, the parties received the following results: Socialdemokraterne 26.2%, Venstre 13.7%, Moderaterne 8.8%, Socialistisk Folkeparti 8.7%, Liberal Alliance 7.3%, Danmarksdemokraterne 7%, De Rød-Grønne 6.3%, Konservative Folkeparti 6%, Radikale Venstre 4.4%, Nye Borgerlige 4.3%, Alternativet 3.2%, Dansk Folkeparti 2.9%, Kristendemokraterne 0.9% and Frie Grønne 0.3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 4483 people during the period 31.10.2022. The survey was commissioned by Berlingske.
4483 participants
31.10.2022
Gallup
Berlingske
A
26.2
+0.5
V
13.7
-1.4
M
8.8
+5.8
F
8.7
-0.3
I
7.3
+4.1
Æ
7.0
+7.0
Ø
6.3
-1.7
C
6.0
-9.2
B
4.4
-1.9
D
4.3
-1.0
Å
3.2
+2.3
O
2.9
-2.6
K
0.9
-0.8
Q
0.3
-0.4
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

179
Majority requires 90 seats
Ø
11
6.1%
F
16
8.9%
A
48
26.8%
B
8
4.5%
Å
5
2.8%
M
16
8.9%
V
25
14%
I
13
7.3%
C
11
6.1%
Æ
13
7.3%
D
8
4.5%
O
5
2.8%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance
57.0%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne + Konservative Folkeparti
55.9%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti
54.2%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
54.2%
Socialdemokraterne + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti + Radikale Venstre
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance + Radikale Venstre
52.5%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne + Alternativet
52.5%
Socialdemokraterne + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Radikale Venstre
51.4%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance + Alternativet
50.8%
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + Moderaterne + De Rød-Grønne
50.8%
Socialdemokraterne + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance + Radikale Venstre + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Alternativet
49.7%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne
49.7%
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne + Radikale Venstre + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti
49.2%
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
49.2%
Socialdemokraterne + Moderaterne + Konservative Folkeparti + Radikale Venstre + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Moderaterne + De Rød-Grønne + Radikale Venstre + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne + Radikale Venstre
46.4%

76

PolitPro Score

Gallup achieves a score of 76/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
A
52
44
4
B
0
88
12
C
0
92
8
D
4
88
8
F
4
96
0
I
0
100
0
K
0
100
0
M
Not enough data available
O
0
96
4
Q
Not enough data available
V
0
80
20
Å
6
94
0
Æ
Not enough data available
Ø
4
92
4

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

0.7

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Gallup pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.7 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
0.65
Parliamentary Election in Dänemark 2022 1/6

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.