Latest voting intention survey by Gallup for Denmark
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Denmark conducted by Gallup, the parties received the following results: Socialdemokraterne 26.2%, Venstre 13.7%, Moderaterne 8.8%, Socialistisk Folkeparti 8.7%, Liberal Alliance 7.3%, Danmarksdemokraterne 7%, De Rød-Grønne 6.3%, Konservative Folkeparti 6%, Radikale Venstre 4.4%, Nye Borgerlige 4.3%, Alternativet 3.2%, Dansk Folkeparti 2.9%, Kristendemokraterne 0.9% and Frie Grønne 0.3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 4483 people during the period 31.10.2022. The survey was commissioned by Berlingske.
4483 participants
31.10.2022
Gallup
Berlingske
Seats in parliament
179
Majority requires 90 seats
Ø
11
6.1%
F
16
8.9%
A
48
26.8%
B
8
4.5%
Å
5
2.8%
M
16
8.9%
V
25
14%
I
13
7.3%
C
11
6.1%
Æ
13
7.3%
D
8
4.5%
O
5
2.8%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne + Konservative Folkeparti
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
Socialdemokraterne + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti + Radikale Venstre
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance + Radikale Venstre
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Radikale Venstre
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + Moderaterne + De Rød-Grønne
Socialdemokraterne + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance + Radikale Venstre + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne + Radikale Venstre + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
Socialdemokraterne + Moderaterne + Konservative Folkeparti + Radikale Venstre + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Moderaterne + De Rød-Grønne + Radikale Venstre + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne + Radikale Venstre
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Gallup pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.7 percentage points.
Average deviation of pre-election polls from the last election results
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.65
|
Parliamentary Election in Dänemark 2022 | 1/6 |
What counts as accurate?
Election polls typically have a margin of error of 2-3 percentage points. Deviations up to 1 percentage point are considered very accurate (green), up to 2 percentage points accurate (yellow). Deviations of up to 3 percentage points are acceptable (orange) but can show significant outliers for certain parties. Deviations greater than 3 percentage points indicate low accuracy and reliability (red).
Calculation Methodology
We compare the final voting intention poll conducted within two weeks before an election with the actual election results. Each party’s performance is compared individually, and the average deviation across all parties is calculated.