Current election polls and polling data from Kantar Gallup

Latest voting intention survey by Kantar Gallup for Denmark

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Denmark conducted by Kantar Gallup, the parties received the following results: Socialdemokraterne 27.7%, Venstre 14.5%, Socialistisk Folkeparti 8.9%, Moderaterne 7.3%, Konservative Folkeparti 7.1%, De Rød-Grønne 6.9%, Liberal Alliance 6.7%, Danmarksdemokraterne 5.9%, Nye Borgerlige 4.8%, Radikale Venstre 4.5%, Dansk Folkeparti 2.7%, Alternativet 1.5%, Frie Grønne 0.7% and Kristendemokraterne 0.7%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1989 people during the period 23.10.2022. The survey was commissioned by Berlingske.
1989 participants
23.10.2022
Kantar Gallup
Berlingske
A
27.7
+3.4
V
14.5
-3.4
F
8.9
+1.7
M
7.3
+7.3
C
7.1
+2.3
Ø
6.9
-2.3
I
6.7
+2.6
Æ
5.9
+5.9
D
4.8
+2.1
B
4.5
-3.9
O
2.7
-9.8
Å
1.5
-1.6
Q
0.7
+0.7
K
0.7
-0.4
Others
0.1
-4.6
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

179
Majority requires 90 seats
Ø
13
7.3%
F
16
8.9%
A
52
29.1%
B
8
4.5%
M
13
7.3%
V
27
15.1%
C
13
7.3%
I
12
6.7%
Æ
11
6.1%
D
9
5%
O
5
2.8%
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne + Moderaterne
52.5%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti
51.4%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne
51.4%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance
50.8%
Socialdemokraterne + Konservative Folkeparti + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance
50.3%
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne + Radikale Venstre
49.7%
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
49.7%

73

PolitPro Score

Kantar Gallup achieves a score of 73/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
A
14
71
14
B
0
86
14
C
0
100
0
D
29
71
0
F
0
100
0
I
0
100
0
K
Not enough data available
M
Not enough data available
O
14
86
0
V
0
71
29
Å
14
86
0
Æ
Not enough data available
Ø
0
100
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.3

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Kantar Gallup pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.3 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.25
Parliamentary Election in Dänemark 2022 6/6

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.