Latest voting intention survey by Megafon for Denmark
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Denmark conducted by Megafon, the parties received the following results: Socialdemokraterne 24.7%, Venstre 14%, Socialistisk Folkeparti 9.7%, Moderaterne 9.3%, Liberal Alliance 7.7%, Danmarksdemokraterne 6.2%, Konservative Folkeparti 6.1%, De Rød-Grønne 5.8%, Nye Borgerlige 4.3%, Radikale Venstre 4.1%, Dansk Folkeparti 3.9%, Alternativet 2.8%, Kristendemokraterne 0.8% and Frie Grønne 0.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1014 people during the period 29.10.2022 - 29.10.2022. The survey was commissioned by TV2.
1014 participants
28.10.2022 - 29.10.2022
Megafon
TV2
A
24.7
-0.9
V
14.0
-0.8
F
9.7
+0.6
M
9.3
+3.7
I
7.7
+2.3
Æ
6.2
-2.3
C
6.1
-3.1
Ø
5.8
-0.9
D
4.3
+0.1
B
4.1
-0.6
O
3.9
+1.0
Å
2.8
+1.6
K
0.8
-0.3
Q
0.5
-0.4
Others
0.1
0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
179
Majority requires 90 seats
Ø
10
5.6%
F
17
9.5%
A
46
25.7%
B
7
3.9%
Å
5
2.8%
M
17
9.5%
V
26
14.5%
I
14
7.8%
C
11
6.1%
Æ
11
6.1%
D
8
4.5%
O
7
3.9%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne + Konservative Folkeparti
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
Socialdemokraterne + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti + Radikale Venstre
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance + Radikale Venstre
Socialdemokraterne + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Radikale Venstre
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + Moderaterne + De Rød-Grønne
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne
Socialdemokraterne + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance + Radikale Venstre + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Alternativet
Socialdemokraterne + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne + Radikale Venstre + Alternativet
77
PolitPro Score
Megafon achieves a score of 77/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.2
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Megafon pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.2 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.95
|
Parliamentary Election in Dänemark 2022 | 5/6 |
|
1.44
|
Parliamentary Election in Dänemark 2019 | 1/3 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.