Latest Opinion Poll for Denmark (Epinion, February 26, 2026)

February 26, 2026

1576 respondents

Next General election in Denmark: March 24, 2026

The next General election in Denmark takes place in -9.4322040936227 days.

Denmark's Incumbent Government Lacks Majority

Based on the Epinion projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 35.8% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Epinion?

The latest opinion poll for the Danish election, conducted by Epinion on February 26, 2026, shows Socialdemokraterne ahead with 20.8%. Trailing behind are Socialistisk Folkeparti: 14.4%, Liberal Alliance: 10.2%, Venstre: 8.9%, Danmarksdemokraterne: 8.3%, Dansk Folkeparti: 7.8%, De Rød-Grønne: 7.2%, Konservative Folkeparti: 5.8%, Moderaterne: 5.7%, Radikale Venstre: 4.1%, Alternativet: 2.9% and H: 2.9%. Other parties secure 1% of the votes.

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Epinion Projection?

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the election in Denmark is 2%.

Socialdemokraterne + Liberal Alliance + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Moderaterne
Centre-Left
53.6%
Socialdemokraterne + Liberal Alliance + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Radikale Venstre
Centre-Left
52.0%
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
Centre-Left
52.0%
Socialdemokraterne + Liberal Alliance + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Alternativet
Centre-Left
51.4%
Socialdemokraterne + Liberal Alliance + Venstre + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
Centre-Left
50.8%
Socialdemokraterne + Liberal Alliance + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti
Centre
48.0%
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne + Moderaterne
Centre-Left
48.0%
Liberal Alliance + Venstre + Dansk Folkeparti + Danmarksdemokraterne + Konservative Folkeparti + Moderaterne
Centre-Right
48.0%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: Epinion)

According to Epinion, 12 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Danish parliament: Socialdemokraterne with 39 representatives, Socialistisk Folkeparti with 25 representatives, Liberal Alliance with 19 representatives, Venstre with 16 representatives, Dansk Folkeparti with 15 representatives, Danmarksdemokraterne with 14 representatives, Konservative Folkeparti with 12 representatives, De Rød-Grønne with 12 representatives, Moderaterne with 10 representatives, Radikale Venstre with 7 representatives, Alternativet with 6 representatives and H with 4 representatives.

The Electoral System in Denmark

The Danish Parliament, known as the Folketing, comprises 179 members. Of these, 175 seats are allocated within Denmark, with two seats each reserved for the Faroe Islands and Greenland. The electoral system employs proportional representation, aiming for a highly precise alignment between nationwide vote share and seat distribution. This is achieved through a two-tier process involving constituency mandates and 40 compensatory seats. Denmark is also renowned for its high transparency and a strong tradition of cross-political cooperation.

Electoral Thresholds

Denmark boasts one of Europe's lowest parliamentary thresholds: a party needs only 2% of the nationwide vote to enter the Folketing. Alternatively, a seat can be secured by winning a direct mandate in a constituency or by achieving a specific number of votes within a regional bloc. This low 2% threshold fosters significant political diversity, ensuring that even smaller parties and emerging political movements gain a voice in the national parliament.

Government Formation and Traditions

A distinctive feature of Danish politics is 'negative parliamentarism'. This means a government, upon taking office, does not require an active parliamentary majority but merely must not have a majority *against* it. This often leads to the formation of minority governments, which rely on one or more supporting parties to forge agreements on the political agenda. This process compels the government to continuously seek majorities for every piece of legislation in the Folketing, thereby fostering a robust culture of consensus.

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

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