Latest Opinion Poll for Denmark (Epinion, June 1, 2026)

May 26, 2026 - June 1, 2026

2073 respondents

Next General Election in Denmark: 2030

The next General Election in Denmark is expected in 2030.

Denmark's Incumbent Government Lacks Majority

Based on the Epinion projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 46.4% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Epinion?

According to the latest national poll in Denmark by Epinion, Socialdemokraterne leads with 21.2%. They are followed by Socialistisk Folkeparti: 13.2%, Dansk Folkeparti: 11.6%, Venstre: 9.5%, Liberal Alliance: 9.1%, Konservative Folkeparti: 7.5%, De Rød-Grønne: 7.4%, Moderaterne: 6.4%, Radikale Venstre: 6%, Danmarksdemokraterne: 4.9%, Alternativet: 2.3% and Borgernes Parti: 0.4%. Other parties secure 0.5% of the votes.

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Epinion Projection?

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the election in Denmark is 2%.

PolitPro Analysis
Likelihood of an Absolute Majority
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Likelihood of Winning the Election
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Likelihood of Crossing the Electoral Threshold
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How Does the PolitPro Analysis Work?

Election polls are not predictions; they are snapshots subject to statistical fluctuations. To provide a realistic picture, we daily simulate 100,000 election outcomes based on the PolitPro Election Trend using the 'Monte Carlo method'. In doing so, we factor in typical voter migration patterns and political trends. Our algorithm tests various scenarios – from minor shifts within political camps to unexpected political developments – to determine the true chances of success for parties and coalitions.

Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
Centre-Left
53.6%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti + Moderaterne
Centre-Left
53.1%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti + Radikale Venstre
Centre-Left
52.5%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
Centre-Left
51.4%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
Centre-Left
49.7%
Socialdemokraterne + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
Centre-Left
49.2%
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne + Moderaterne
Centre-Left
48.0%
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
Centre-Left
46.4%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: Epinion)

According to Epinion, 11 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Danish parliament: Socialdemokraterne with 38 representatives, Socialistisk Folkeparti with 24 representatives, Dansk Folkeparti with 21 representatives, Venstre with 17 representatives, Liberal Alliance with 16 representatives, Konservative Folkeparti with 13 representatives, De Rød-Grønne with 13 representatives, Moderaterne with 11 representatives, Radikale Venstre with 10 representatives, Danmarksdemokraterne with 8 representatives and Alternativet with 4 representatives.Independent candidates and other parties: 4 seats.

The Electoral System in Denmark

The Danish Parliament, known as the Folketing, comprises 179 members. Of these, 175 seats are allocated within Denmark, with two seats each reserved for the Faroe Islands and Greenland. The electoral system employs proportional representation, aiming for a highly precise alignment between nationwide vote share and seat distribution. This is achieved through a two-tier process involving constituency mandates and 40 compensatory seats. Denmark is also renowned for its high transparency and a strong tradition of cross-political cooperation.

Electoral Thresholds

Denmark boasts one of Europe's lowest parliamentary thresholds: a party needs only 2% of the nationwide vote to enter the Folketing. Alternatively, a seat can be secured by winning a direct mandate in a constituency or by achieving a specific number of votes within a regional bloc. This low 2% threshold fosters significant political diversity, ensuring that even smaller parties and emerging political movements gain a voice in the national parliament.

Government Formation and Traditions

A distinctive feature of Danish politics is 'negative parliamentarism'. This means a government, upon taking office, does not require an active parliamentary majority but merely must not have a majority *against* it. This often leads to the formation of minority governments, which rely on one or more supporting parties to forge agreements on the political agenda. This process compels the government to continuously seek majorities for every piece of legislation in the Folketing, thereby fostering a robust culture of consensus.

Data Sources and Methodology

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