Latest Opinion Poll for Denmark (Verian, February 27, 2026)

February 26, 2026 - February 27, 2026

1829 respondents

Next General election in Denmark: March 24, 2026

The next General election in Denmark takes place in -9.3998378684722 days.

Denmark's Incumbent Government Lacks Majority

Based on the Verian projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 39.1% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Verian?

The latest opinion poll for the Danish election, conducted by Verian on February 27, 2026, shows Socialdemokraterne ahead with 21.5%. Trailing behind are Socialistisk Folkeparti: 14.3%, Liberal Alliance: 10.6%, Venstre: 9.1%, Danmarksdemokraterne: 8%, Dansk Folkeparti: 7.2%, Konservative Folkeparti: 6.8%, De Rød-Grønne: 6.8%, Moderaterne: 6.6%, Radikale Venstre: 5%, H: 1.9% and Alternativet: 1.7%. Other parties secure 0.5% of the votes.

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Verian Projection?

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the election in Denmark is 2%.

Socialdemokraterne + Venstre
Centre-Left
52.5%
Socialdemokraterne + Radikale Venstre + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne
Centre-Left
52.5%
Socialdemokraterne + Radikale Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Alternativet
Centre-Left
48.0%
Socialdemokraterne + Radikale Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti
Centre-Left
45.3%
Socialdemokraterne + Radikale Venstre + Socialistisk Folkeparti
Centre-Left
44.7%
Socialdemokraterne + Radikale Venstre + De Rød-Grønne
Centre-Left
44.1%
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne
Centre-Left
43.6%
Venstre + Radikale Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti
Centre-Left
43.0%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: Voxmeter)

According to Voxmeter, 9 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Danish parliament: Socialdemokraterne with 49 representatives, Venstre with 45 representatives, Radikale Venstre with 16 representatives, Konservative Folkeparti with 16 representatives, Socialistisk Folkeparti with 15 representatives, Dansk Folkeparti with 15 representatives, De Rød-Grønne with 14 representatives, Alternativet with 5 representatives and Nye Borgerlige with 4 representatives.

The Electoral System in Denmark

The Danish Parliament, known as the Folketing, comprises 179 members. Of these, 175 seats are allocated within Denmark, with two seats each reserved for the Faroe Islands and Greenland. The electoral system employs proportional representation, aiming for a highly precise alignment between nationwide vote share and seat distribution. This is achieved through a two-tier process involving constituency mandates and 40 compensatory seats. Denmark is also renowned for its high transparency and a strong tradition of cross-political cooperation.

Electoral Thresholds

Denmark boasts one of Europe's lowest parliamentary thresholds: a party needs only 2% of the nationwide vote to enter the Folketing. Alternatively, a seat can be secured by winning a direct mandate in a constituency or by achieving a specific number of votes within a regional bloc. This low 2% threshold fosters significant political diversity, ensuring that even smaller parties and emerging political movements gain a voice in the national parliament.

Government Formation and Traditions

A distinctive feature of Danish politics is 'negative parliamentarism'. This means a government, upon taking office, does not require an active parliamentary majority but merely must not have a majority *against* it. This often leads to the formation of minority governments, which rely on one or more supporting parties to forge agreements on the political agenda. This process compels the government to continuously seek majorities for every piece of legislation in the Folketing, thereby fostering a robust culture of consensus.

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

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