Latest Opinion Poll for Denmark (Voxmeter, May 3, 2026)

April 27, 2026 - May 3, 2026

1009 respondents

Next General Election in Denmark: 2030

The next General Election in Denmark is expected in 2030.

Denmark's Incumbent Government Lacks Majority

Based on the Voxmeter projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 39.4% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Voxmeter?

According to the latest national poll in Denmark by Voxmeter, Socialdemokraterne leads with 21.1%. They are followed by Socialistisk Folkeparti: 12.3%, Dansk Folkeparti: 10.6%, Venstre: 9.5%, Konservative Folkeparti: 8.9%, Liberal Alliance: 8.5%, De Rød-Grønne: 8.1%, Moderaterne: 7.4%, Radikale Venstre: 5.7%, Danmarksdemokraterne: 5.1%, Alternativet: 1.7% and Borgernes Parti: 1.1%.

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Voxmeter Projection?

86

PolitPro Score

Voxmeter achieved a PolitPro Score of 86 out of 100.

1.2

Election Accuracy

On average, Voxmeter's figures deviate by 1.2 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the election in Denmark is 2%.

Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Liberal Alliance + Moderaterne
Centre-Left
57.1%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Liberal Alliance + Radikale Venstre
Centre-Left
55.4%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
Centre-Left
54.3%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
Centre-Left
53.7%
Socialdemokraterne + Konservative Folkeparti + Liberal Alliance + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
Centre-Left
53.1%
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne + Moderaterne
Centre-Left
50.9%
Dansk Folkeparti + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Liberal Alliance + Moderaterne + Danmarksdemokraterne
Centre-Right
50.9%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Liberal Alliance
Centre
49.7%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: Voxmeter)

According to Voxmeter, 10 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Danish parliament: Socialdemokraterne with 39 representatives, Socialistisk Folkeparti with 22 representatives, Dansk Folkeparti with 19 representatives, Venstre with 17 representatives, Konservative Folkeparti with 16 representatives, Liberal Alliance with 15 representatives, De Rød-Grønne with 15 representatives, Moderaterne with 13 representatives, Radikale Venstre with 10 representatives and Danmarksdemokraterne with 9 representatives.

The Electoral System in Denmark

The Danish Parliament, known as the Folketing, comprises 179 members. Of these, 175 seats are allocated within Denmark, with two seats each reserved for the Faroe Islands and Greenland. The electoral system employs proportional representation, aiming for a highly precise alignment between nationwide vote share and seat distribution. This is achieved through a two-tier process involving constituency mandates and 40 compensatory seats. Denmark is also renowned for its high transparency and a strong tradition of cross-political cooperation.

Electoral Thresholds

Denmark boasts one of Europe's lowest parliamentary thresholds: a party needs only 2% of the nationwide vote to enter the Folketing. Alternatively, a seat can be secured by winning a direct mandate in a constituency or by achieving a specific number of votes within a regional bloc. This low 2% threshold fosters significant political diversity, ensuring that even smaller parties and emerging political movements gain a voice in the national parliament.

Government Formation and Traditions

A distinctive feature of Danish politics is 'negative parliamentarism'. This means a government, upon taking office, does not require an active parliamentary majority but merely must not have a majority *against* it. This often leads to the formation of minority governments, which rely on one or more supporting parties to forge agreements on the political agenda. This process compels the government to continuously seek majorities for every piece of legislation in the Folketing, thereby fostering a robust culture of consensus.

Data Sources and Methodology

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