Denmark
Election trend
Parties

Denmark: Poll by Megafon from 16.10.2022

Polling data

A
25.6
+0.2
V
14.8
+1.8
C
9.2
-2.4
F
9.1
+0.2
Æ
8.5
-1.2
Ø
6.7
-1.2
M
5.6
-0.6
I
5.4
+0.9
B
4.7
+0.6
D
4.2
-0.2
O
2.9
+0.9
Å
1.2
+0.1
K
1.1
+0.2
Q
0.9
+0.6
Sonst.
0.1
+0.1
Development since the last election on 01.11.2022
A
-1.9
V
+1.5
C
+3.7
F
+0.8
Æ
+0.4
Ø
+1.5
M
-3.7
I
-2.5
B
+0.9
D
+0.5
O
+0.3
Å
-2.1
K
+0.6
Q
±0.0
Megafon – 1008 respondents – 12.10.2022-16.10.2022
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Denmark is expected to take place in 2026.
Institute often rates Dansk Folkeparti lower
In 31% of election polls Megafon rates Dansk Folkeparti lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Socialdemokraterne lower
In 74% of election polls Megafon rates Socialdemokraterne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Denmark - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Denmark from Megafon shows the following results: Socialdemokraterne 25.6%, Venstre 14.8%, Konservative Folkeparti 9.2%, Socialistisk Folkeparti 9.1%, Danmarksdemokraterne 8.5%, De Rød-Grønne 6.7%, Moderaterne 5.6%, Liberal Alliance 5.4%, Radikale Venstre 4.7%, Nye Borgerlige 4.2%, Dansk Folkeparti 2.9%, Alternativet 1.2%, Kristendemokraterne 1.1% and Frie Grønne 0.9%. If an election were held in Denmark this Sunday, Konservative Folkeparti might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.7 growth since the last election. Moderaterne, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Mette Frederiksen is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Socialdemokraterne, Venstre and Moderaterne. With 47.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Megafon. For this purpose, 1008 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (12.10.2022 - 16.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

179
Ø
12
F
17
A
48
B
9
M
10
V
28
C
17
I
10
Æ
16
D
7
O
5
Majority requires 90 seats
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
96
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance
96
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Moderaterne + Radikale Venstre
95
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance + Radikale Venstre
95
Socialdemokraterne + Konservative Folkeparti + Moderaterne + Liberal Alliance + Radikale Venstre
94
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti
93
Socialdemokraterne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + De Rød-Grønne + Radikale Venstre
86

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Denmark was conducted by Megafon. The survey took place between 12.10.2022 and 16.10.2022 among 1008 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Socialdemokraterne 25.6%, Venstre 14.8%, Konservative Folkeparti 9.2%, Socialistisk Folkeparti 9.1%, Danmarksdemokraterne 8.5%, De Rød-Grønne 6.7%, Moderaterne 5.6%, Liberal Alliance 5.4%, Radikale Venstre 4.7%, Nye Borgerlige 4.2%, Dansk Folkeparti 2.9%, Alternativet 1.2%, Kristendemokraterne 1.1% and Frie Grønne 0.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.