Denmark: Poll by Megafon from 25.10.2018

Denmark: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
A
22.7
-2.3
V
19.0
+1.4
O
14.8
-1.1
Ø
9.7
+1.2
B
9.6
+1.6
F
7.0
+0.8
C
5.3
+0.8
I
4.5
-0.2
Å
4.0
-1.7
D
2.6
-0.2
K
0.7
-0.2
Others
0.1
-0.1
Development since the last election on 01.11.2022
A
-4.8
V
+5.7
O
+12.2
Ø
+4.5
B
+5.8
F
-1.3
C
-0.2
I
-3.4
Å
+0.7
D
-1.1
K
+0.2
Megafon – 870 respondents – 22.10.2018-25.10.2018

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Denmark is expected to take place in 2026.

Low number of respondents

Only 870 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates Dansk Folkeparti lower

In 31% of election polls Megafon rates Dansk Folkeparti lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Socialdemokraterne lower

In 74% of election polls Megafon rates Socialdemokraterne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Denmark - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Denmark from Megafon shows the following results: Socialdemokraterne 22.7%, Venstre 19%, Dansk Folkeparti 14.8%, De Rød-Grønne 9.7%, Radikale Venstre 9.6%, Socialistisk Folkeparti 7%, Konservative Folkeparti 5.3%, Liberal Alliance 4.5%, Alternativet 4%, Nye Borgerlige 2.6% and Kristendemokraterne 0.7%. If an election were held in Denmark this Sunday, Dansk Folkeparti might gain the most in voter favorability with +12.2 growth since the last election. Socialdemokraterne, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Mette Frederiksen is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Socialdemokraterne, Venstre and Moderaterne. With 43.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Megafon. For this purpose, 870 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (22.10.2018 - 25.10.2018).

Coalition possibilities

179
Majority requires 90 seats
Ø
17
9.5%
F
13
7.3%
A
42
23.5%
B
17
9.5%
Å
7
3.9%
V
35
19.6%
C
9
5%
I
8
4.5%
O
27
15.1%
D
4
2.2%
Socialdemokraterne + De Rød-Grønne + Radikale Venstre + Socialistisk Folkeparti + Alternativet
53.6%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Radikale Venstre
52.5%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Liberal Alliance
52.5%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti + Alternativet
52.0%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance + Alternativet
51.4%
Socialdemokraterne + De Rød-Grønne + Radikale Venstre + Socialistisk Folkeparti
49.7%
Venstre + Dansk Folkeparti + Konservative Folkeparti + Liberal Alliance + Nye Borgerlige
46.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Denmark was conducted by Megafon. The survey took place between 22.10.2018 and 25.10.2018 among 870 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Socialdemokraterne 22.7%, Venstre 19%, Dansk Folkeparti 14.8%, De Rød-Grønne 9.7%, Radikale Venstre 9.6%, Socialistisk Folkeparti 7%, Konservative Folkeparti 5.3%, Liberal Alliance 4.5%, Alternativet 4%, Nye Borgerlige 2.6% and Kristendemokraterne 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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