Denmark: Poll by Norstat from 11.12.2018

Denmark: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
A
26.6
-0.2
V
18.2
-0.5
O
17.6
-0.1
Ø
8.8
+0.1
F
6.3
+1.2
I
5.2
+0.1
B
4.8
-1.1
Å
4.5
-0.2
C
3.9
+0.2
D
2.8
+0.3
K
0.5
-0.3
Others
0.8
+0.5
Development since the last election on 01.11.2022
A
-0.9
V
+4.9
O
+15.0
Ø
+3.6
F
-2.0
I
-2.7
B
+1.0
Å
+1.2
C
-1.6
D
-0.9
K
±0.0
Norstat – 1219 respondents – 06.12.2018-11.12.2018

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Denmark is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Socialdemokraterne higher

In 33% of election polls, Norstat rates Socialdemokraterne higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Venstre lower

In 33% of election polls Norstat rates Venstre lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Denmark - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Denmark from Norstat shows the following results: Socialdemokraterne 26.6%, Venstre 18.2%, Dansk Folkeparti 17.6%, De Rød-Grønne 8.8%, Socialistisk Folkeparti 6.3%, Liberal Alliance 5.2%, Radikale Venstre 4.8%, Alternativet 4.5%, Konservative Folkeparti 3.9%, Nye Borgerlige 2.8% and Kristendemokraterne 0.5%. If an election were held in Denmark this Sunday, Dansk Folkeparti might gain the most in voter favorability with +15.0 growth since the last election. Liberal Alliance, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Mette Frederiksen is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Socialdemokraterne, Venstre and Moderaterne. With 45.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Norstat. For this purpose, 1219 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (06.12.2018 - 11.12.2018).

Coalition possibilities

179
Majority requires 90 seats
Ø
16
8.9%
F
11
6.1%
A
49
27.4%
B
9
5%
Å
8
4.5%
V
33
18.4%
I
9
5%
C
7
3.9%
O
32
17.9%
D
5
2.8%
Socialdemokraterne + De Rød-Grønne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + Radikale Venstre + Alternativet
52.0%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Radikale Venstre
50.8%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Liberal Alliance
50.8%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Alternativet
50.3%
Socialdemokraterne + Venstre + Konservative Folkeparti
49.7%
Venstre + Dansk Folkeparti + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti + Nye Borgerlige
48.0%
Socialdemokraterne + De Rød-Grønne + Socialistisk Folkeparti + Radikale Venstre
47.5%
Venstre + Dansk Folkeparti + Liberal Alliance + Konservative Folkeparti
45.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Denmark was conducted by Norstat. The survey took place between 06.12.2018 and 11.12.2018 among 1219 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Socialdemokraterne 26.6%, Venstre 18.2%, Dansk Folkeparti 17.6%, De Rød-Grønne 8.8%, Socialistisk Folkeparti 6.3%, Liberal Alliance 5.2%, Radikale Venstre 4.8%, Alternativet 4.5%, Konservative Folkeparti 3.9%, Nye Borgerlige 2.8% and Kristendemokraterne 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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