Official Final Results of the Estonian Election

General election in Estonia 2019

Estonian Election Results: March 3, 2019

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the Riigikogu election in Estonia is 5%.

Voter Turnout

Voter turnout was 63.7%.

Current Election Trend: Estonia
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
Historical Elections: Estonia
Results, coalitions, and historical data

Seat Distribution and Mathematical Majorities

101
Majority requires 51 seats

The current government loses its majority

The incumbent governing parties secured 0.0% of the seats.

Reformierakond + Keskerakond
Centre-Left
59.4%
Reformierakond + Isamaa + SDE
Centre-Left
55.4%
Reformierakond + EKRE
Centre-Right
52.5%
Keskerakond + Isamaa + SDE
Centre
47.5%
Reformierakond + Isamaa
Centre
45.5%
Reformierakond + SDE
Centre-Left
43.6%

Governments of the Current Legislative Period

Ratas II
2019
IRL
EK
ERL
Kallas K I
2019
ER
EK
Kallas K II
2019
ER
IRL
SDE — M
Historical Government Cabinets: Estonia
Cabinets and governing parties since 1945

Polling Accuracy: How Precise Were the Forecasts?

Comparison: Pre-Election Polls vs. Actual Election Results

1.10

Norstat

The final poll by Norstat deviated by an average of 1.10 percentage points per party from the actual Estonian election results.
  • R
    -2.5
  • K
    +0.4
  • EKRE
    -0.1
  • SDE
    +2.7
  • I
    +0.9
  • E200
    ±0
1.20

RAIT Faktum & Ariko

The final poll by RAIT Faktum & Ariko deviated by an average of 1.20 percentage points per party from the actual Estonian election results.
  • R
    -3.9
  • K
    -1.1
  • EKRE
    +0.2
  • I
    -0.4
  • SDE
    +1.2
  • E200
    -0.4
1.28

Kantar Emor

The final poll by Kantar Emor deviated by an average of 1.28 percentage points per party from the actual Estonian election results.
  • R
    -2.3
  • K
    +1.4
  • EKRE
    -0.5
  • SDE
    +2.1
  • I
    -1.3
  • E200
    -0.1
2.27

Turu-uuringute AS

The final poll by Turu-uuringute AS deviated by an average of 2.27 percentage points per party from the actual Estonian election results.
  • K
    +4.9
  • R
    -4.9
  • EKRE
    -0.8
  • SDE
    +1.2
  • I
    -1.4
  • E200
    -0.4
  • EER
    ±

Party Results: Vote Shares and Gains/Losses

Reformierakond

Reform Party
Social Democratic
Pro-European
28.9
+1.2

Keskerakond

Estonian Centre Party
Liberal
Centre-Left
23.1
-1.7

EKRE

Conservative People's Party of Estonia
Right
Eurosceptic
17.8
+9.7

Isamaa

Pro Patria Union
Conservative
11.4
-2.3

SDE

Social Democratic Party
Centre-Left
Pro-European
9.8
-5.4

E200

Estonia 200
Liberal
Pro-European
4.4
+4.4

EER

Estonian Greens
Green
Centre-Left
1.8
+0.9

Elurikkuse Erakond

Estonian Reform Party
Liberal
Pro-European
1.2
+1.2

EVA

Estonian Free Party
Centre-Right
1.2
-7.5

Sonstige Parteien

Other Parties
Unknown
4.6
-5.9

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

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Political data is constantly evolving. If you spot an error, please let us know. A brief reference to your source will help us verify and update the information.

ParlGov – Parliamentary Democracy Data

A comprehensive research database from the University of Bremen, documenting parties, elections, and governments for comparative analysis.

Additional Sources

Döring, Holger and Philip Manow. 2024. Parliaments and governments database (ParlGov).

CHES – Chapel Hill Expert Survey

The leading expert survey on party positions in Europe. Over 400 political scientists document party stances based on rigorous scientific criteria.

Additional Sources

Rovny, Jan, et al. “25 Years of Political Party Positions in Europe: The Chapel Hill Expert Survey, 1999-2024.”