Official Final Results of the Estonian Election

General election in Estonia 2023

Estonian Election Results: March 5, 2023

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the Riigikogu election in Estonia is 5%.

Voter Turnout

Voter turnout was 63.5%.

Current Election Trend: Estonia
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
Historical Elections: Estonia
Results, coalitions, and historical data

Seat Distribution and Mathematical Majorities

101
Majority requires 51 seats

The current government loses its majority

The incumbent governing parties secured 0.0% of the seats.

Reformierakond + EKRE
Centre
53.5%
Reformierakond + SDE + Isamaa
Centre-Left
53.5%
Reformierakond + Keskerakond
Centre-Left
52.5%
Reformierakond + E200
Centre-Left
50.5%
Keskerakond + E200 + SDE + Isamaa
Centre-Left
46.5%
Reformierakond + SDE
Centre-Left
45.5%
Reformierakond + Isamaa
Centre-Left
44.6%

Governments of the Current Legislative Period

Kallas K III
2023
E200
ER
SDE — M
Michal
2023
R
E200
Historical Government Cabinets: Estonia
Cabinets and governing parties since 1945

Polling Accuracy: How Precise Were the Forecasts?

Comparison: Pre-Election Polls vs. Actual Election Results

1.65

Kantar Emor

The final poll by Kantar Emor deviated by an average of 1.65 percentage points per party from the actual Estonian election results.
  • R
    -2.2
  • K
    +0.7
  • E200
    +2.0
  • EKRE
    -1.8
  • SDE
    +2.2
  • I
    -1.0
2.77

RAIT Faktum & Ariko

The final poll by RAIT Faktum & Ariko deviated by an average of 2.77 percentage points per party from the actual Estonian election results.
  • R
    -7.2
  • EKRE
    +5.9
  • K
    +1.7
  • E200
    -0.3
  • I
    -0.2
  • SDE
    -1.3
3.13

Norstat

The final poll by Norstat deviated by an average of 3.13 percentage points per party from the actual Estonian election results.
  • R
    -2.2
  • EKRE
    +5.6
  • K
    +2.6
  • I
    +2.1
  • E200
    -3.6
  • SDE
    -2.7

Party Results: Vote Shares and Gains/Losses

Reformierakond

Reform Party
Social Democratic
Pro-European
31.2
+2.3

EKRE

Conservative People's Party of Estonia
Right
Eurosceptic
16.1
-1.7

Keskerakond

Estonian Centre Party
Liberal
Centre-Left
15.3
-7.8

E200

Estonia 200
Liberal
Pro-European
13.3
+8.9

SDE

Social Democratic Party
Centre-Left
Pro-European
9.3
-0.5

Isamaa

Pro Patria Union
Conservative
8.2
-3.2

Vasakpartei

Estonian United Left Party
Left
2.4
+2.4

Parempoolsed

The Right
Conservative
Pro-European
2.3
+2.3

EER

Estonian Greens
Green
Centre-Left
1.0
-0.8

Sonstige Parteien

Other Parties
Unknown
6.6
+4.4

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

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ParlGov – Parliamentary Democracy Data

A comprehensive research database from the University of Bremen, documenting parties, elections, and governments for comparative analysis.

Additional Sources

Döring, Holger and Philip Manow. 2024. Parliaments and governments database (ParlGov).

CHES – Chapel Hill Expert Survey

The leading expert survey on party positions in Europe. Over 400 political scientists document party stances based on rigorous scientific criteria.

Additional Sources

Rovny, Jan, et al. “25 Years of Political Party Positions in Europe: The Chapel Hill Expert Survey, 1999-2024.”