Current election polls by Norstat

Latest polls from Norstat

Estonia
· 6 days ago
6 days ago
Open Details
28.7
18
16.2
13.7
13.3
5.8
2.5
1.3
0.5
Estonia
· 2 weeks ago
2 weeks ago
Open Details
31.3
20
17.1
16.4
8.1
2.8
0.8
0.5
Estonia
· 3 weeks ago
3 weeks ago
Open Details
29.1
18.9
17.2
16.1
9.7
4.5
1.7
1.7
1.1
Estonia
· 4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago
Open Details
25.3
21.5
17.1
13.5
12.5
6.5
1.5
1.1
Estonia
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
23.5
18.8
17.9
17.5
11
6.8
2.3
1.5
0.7

Rating of parties

Institute often rates E200 lower
In 45% of election polls Norstat rates E200 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Keskerakond higher
In 34% of election polls, Norstat rates Keskerakond higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Reformierakond higher
In 52% of election polls, Norstat rates Reformierakond higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Norstat pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.4 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Norstat's average ranking is 2.8.
1x the most accurate prediction
2
1x the second best prediction
3
1x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4