Latest polls from Norstat
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Norstat pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.4 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Norstat's average ranking is 2.8.
1x the most accurate prediction
2
1x the second best prediction
3
1x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
1x on rank 5
Rating of parties
Institute often rates E200 lower
In 52% of election polls Norstat rates E200 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Kesk higher
In 34% of election polls, Norstat rates Kesk higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Ref higher
In 55% of election polls, Norstat rates Ref higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.