Latest voting intention survey by RAIT Faktum & Ariko for Estonia
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Estonia conducted by RAIT Faktum & Ariko, the parties received the following results: Reformierakond 24%, EKRE 22%, Keskerakond 17%, E200 13%, Isamaa 8%, SDE 8%, Elurikkuse Erakond 2% and Parempoolsed 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 959 people during the period 27.02.2023 - 27.02.2023.
959 participants
10.02.2023 - 27.02.2023
RAIT Faktum & Ariko
R
24.0
-1.0
EKRE
22.0
+4.0
K
17.0
-5.0
E200
13.0
+9.0
I
8.0
-3.0
SDE
8.0
-3.0
ER
2.0
+2.0
P
1.0
+1.0
Others
5.0
-4.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
101
Majority requires 51 seats
SDE
8
7.9%
K
19
18.8%
E200
14
13.9%
R
27
26.7%
I
9
8.9%
EKRE
24
23.8%
Reformierakond + Keskerakond + E200
Reformierakond + E200 + Isamaa + SDE
Reformierakond + Keskerakond + Isamaa
Reformierakond + Keskerakond + SDE
Reformierakond + EKRE
Reformierakond + E200 + Isamaa
Keskerakond + E200 + Isamaa + SDE
Reformierakond + Keskerakond
?
PolitPro Score
RAIT Faktum & Ariko achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.0
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in RAIT Faktum & Ariko pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.0 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.77
|
Parliamentary Election in Estland 2023 | 2/3 |
|
1.2
|
Parliamentary Election in Estland 2019 | 2/4 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.