Estonia Election Poll: Results from Turu-uuringute AS on December 10, 2025

According to Norstat, 6 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter Estonia's parliament: Isamaa with 30 representatives, Reformierakond with 21 representatives, Keskerakond with 19 representatives, EKRE with 16 representatives, SDE with 9 representatives and Parempoolsed with 6 representatives.

The Estonian Parliament (Riigikogu) comprises 101 members, elected every four years through a proportional representation system. The country is divided into 12 multi-member electoral districts. Estonia leads globally in 'i-voting,' allowing citizens to securely cast their ballots online, a method utilized by over half the electorate. Seat allocation occurs in three stages: simple quotas in electoral districts, list mandates at the county level, and finally, compensatory mandates nationally to ensure high proportionality.

To enter the Riigikogu, Estonia enforces a nationwide 5% electoral threshold. Parties must secure this percentage of valid votes to be considered for list and compensatory mandates. However, individual candidates can still enter parliament without reaching the 5% threshold if they achieve a simple quota (known as a 'personal mandate') in their respective electoral district. This rule balances the stability of the party system with the significance of strong local personalities.

Given that Estonia's electoral system typically produces a multi-party parliament, coalition governments are the norm. Following an election, the President appoints a Prime Minister candidate – usually the leader of the strongest party – who then endeavors to form a coalition. The new government requires formal approval from the Riigikogu to take office. Estonian politics often features pragmatic alliances, frequently focusing on digitalization, economic stability, and national security.