Kantar Emor achieved a PolitPro Score of 66 out of 100.
On average, Kantar Emor's figures deviate by 1.5 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.
In 52% of polls, Kantar Emor rated E200 higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 47% of polls, Kantar Emor rated Parempoolsed higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 59% of polls, Kantar Emor rated SDE higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 44% of polls, Kantar Emor rated EKRE lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 33% of polls, Kantar Emor rated Isamaa lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 52% of polls, Kantar Emor rated Keskerakond lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 42% of polls, Kantar Emor rated Reformierakond lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
The PolitPro Election Trend serves as the benchmark, using a time-weighted average of all current surveys. A poll value is flagged if it deviates by more than one percentage point from this trend.
On average, Kantar Emor's figures deviate by 1.5 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.
With an average deviation of 1.65 percentage points per party, Kantar Emor ranks 1 out of 3.
With an average deviation of 1.28 percentage points per party, Kantar Emor ranks 3 out of 4.
Accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls aligned with actual election results. We compare final surveys from various institutes with official outcomes. To do this, we calculate the average deviation across all parties that received at least 3% of the vote. Most election polls have a standard margin of error of 2-3 percentage points. We categorize average deviations as follows: up to 1 percentage point is "very good" (green); up to 2 points is "good" (yellow); up to 3 points is "acceptable" (orange), though this may indicate significant outliers for specific parties. Deviations exceeding 3 percentage points suggest a lack of predictive power and are rated "poor" (red).
