Estonia: Poll by Kantar Emor from 17.11.2022

Polling data

R
31.0
+3.0
EKRE
22.0
-3.0
K
15.0
+1.0
E200
14.0
±0.0
SDE
8.0
±0.0
I
6.0
-1.0
ER
3.0
+1.0
P
1.0
±0.0
TULE
0.0
±0.0
Kantar Emor – 1512 respondents – 10.11.2022-17.11.2022
Institute often rates E200 higher
In 80% of election polls, Kantar Emor rates E200 higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates EKRE lower
In 32% of election polls Kantar Emor rates EKRE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Elurikkuse Erakond higher
In 50% of election polls, Kantar Emor rates Elurikkuse Erakond higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Kesk lower
In 73% of election polls Kantar Emor rates Kesk lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Ref lower
In 44% of election polls Kantar Emor rates Ref lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SDE higher
In 61% of election polls, Kantar Emor rates SDE higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2023
The next parliamentary election in Estonia is expected to take place in 2023.

Coalition possibilities

Ref + Kesk + E200
62.5
Ref + Kesk + SDE
56.2
Ref + E200 + SDE
55.2
Ref + EKRE
55.2
Ref + Kesk + Isamaa
54.2
Ref + E200 + Isamaa
53.2
Ref + Kesk
47.9
Ref + SDE + Isamaa
46.9


Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 46.9% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Estonia was conducted by Kantar Emor. The survey took place between 10.11.2022 and 17.11.2022 among 1512 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ref 31%, EKRE 22%, Kesk 15%, E200 14%, SDE 8%, Isamaa 6%, Elurikkuse Erakond 3%, P 1% and TULE 0%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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