Development since the last election on 03.03.2019
Norstat – 1000 respondents – 15.11.2022-21.11.2022
Institute often rates E200 lower
In 49% of election polls Norstat rates E200 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Kesk higher
In 34% of election polls, Norstat rates Kesk higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Ref higher
In 56% of election polls, Norstat rates Ref higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2023
The next parliamentary election in Estonia is expected to take place in 2023.
Government would have to tremble
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 48.1% of the votes.
Frequently asked questions about election polls
election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Estonia was conducted by Norstat. The survey took place between 15.11.2022 and 21.11.2022 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ref 32.5%, EKRE 24.3%, Kesk 18.1%, Isamaa 8.7%, E200 8.4%, SDE 5.9%, Elurikkuse Erakond 1.2% and P 0.3%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.