Estonia: Poll by Norstat from 09.01.2023

Polling data

R
34.2
+3.2
EKRE
23.3
+0.5
K
16.9
+0.4
E200
9.2
-1.4
SDE
8.4
+2.8
I
4.8
-4.3
ER
2.2
+0.1
P
0.6
-0.6
Others
0.4
0.0
Norstat – 1000 respondents – 02.01.2023-09.01.2023
Next election: 05.03.2023
The next general election in Estonia will be held in 25.

Coalition possibilities

Ref + EKRE
62.5
Ref + E200 + SDE
56.3
Ref + Kesk
55.6
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 46.3% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Estonia was conducted by Norstat. The survey took place between 02.01.2023 and 09.01.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ref 34.2%, EKRE 23.3%, Kesk 16.9%, E200 9.2%, SDE 8.4%, Isamaa 4.8%, Elurikkuse Erakond 2.2% and P 0.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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