Estonia: Poll by Norstat from 16.01.2023

Polling data

R
30.4
-3.8
EKRE
20.0
-3.3
K
17.8
+0.9
E200
10.7
+1.5
SDE
9.5
+1.1
I
8.3
+3.5
ER
2.3
+0.1
P
0.7
+0.1
Others
0.3
0.0
Norstat – 1000 respondents – 10.01.2023-16.01.2023
Next election: 05.03.2023
The next general election in Estonia will be held in 25.

Coalition possibilities

Ref + Kesk + E200
60.9
Ref + Kesk + SDE
59.6
Ref + Kesk + Isamaa
58.4
Ref + E200 + SDE
52.3
Ref + EKRE
52.1
Ref + E200 + Isamaa
51.1
Ref + SDE + Isamaa
49.8
Ref + Kesk
49.8
Government would have to tremble
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 49.8% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Estonia was conducted by Norstat. The survey took place between 10.01.2023 and 16.01.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ref 30.4%, EKRE 20%, Kesk 17.8%, E200 10.7%, SDE 9.5%, Isamaa 8.3%, Elurikkuse Erakond 2.3% and P 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

More from the Internet