Estonia
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Estonia: Poll by Norstat from 23.01.2023

Polling data

R
31.7
+1.3
K
21.3
+3.5
EKRE
18.4
-1.6
E200
12.5
+1.8
SDE
7.7
-1.8
I
5.4
-2.9
P
1.4
+0.7
ER
1.1
-1.2
Others
0.5
0.0
Development since the last election on 05.03.2023
R
+0.5
K
+6.0
EKRE
+2.3
E200
-0.8
SDE
-1.6
I
-2.8
P
-0.9
ER
Norstat – 1000 respondents – 17.01.2023-23.01.2023

Estonia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Estonia from Norstat shows the following results: Ref 31.7%, Kesk 21.3%, EKRE 18.4%, E200 12.5%, SDE 7.7%, Isamaa 5.4%, Parempoolsed 1.4% and Elurikkuse Erakond 1.1%. If an election were held in Estonia this Sunday, Kesk might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.0 growth since the last election. Isamaa, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Kaja Kallas is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Ref, SDE and Isamaa. With 46.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Norstat. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (17.01.2023 - 23.01.2023).

Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Estonia is expected to take place in 2027.

Coalition possibilities

Ref + Kesk
54.7
Ref + E200 + SDE
53.5
Ref + EKRE
51.7
Ref + E200 + Isamaa
51.2
Ref + SDE + Isamaa
46.2
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 46.2% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Estonia was conducted by Norstat. The survey took place between 17.01.2023 and 23.01.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Ref 31.7%, Kesk 21.3%, EKRE 18.4%, E200 12.5%, SDE 7.7%, Isamaa 5.4%, Parempoolsed 1.4% and Elurikkuse Erakond 1.1%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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