Estonia
Election trend
Parties

Estonia: Poll by Kantar Emor from 09.02.2023

Polling data

R
31.8
+1.5
EKRE
18.6
-0.7
K
15.8
-0.6
E200
12.1
-1.0
I
8.8
+1.8
SDE
8.0
-0.3
ER
2.7
+0.3
P
1.8
+0.2
Sonst.
0.4
-1.2
Development since the last election on 05.03.2023
R
+0.6
EKRE
+2.5
K
+0.5
E200
-1.2
I
+0.6
SDE
-1.3
ER
P
-0.5
Kantar Emor – 1493 respondents – 06.02.2023-09.02.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Estonia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Estonia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Estonia from Kantar Emor shows the following results: Reformierakond 31.8%, EKRE 18.6%, Keskerakond 15.8%, E200 12.1%, Isamaa 8.8%, SDE 8%, Elurikkuse Erakond 2.7% and Parempoolsed 1.8%. If an election were held in Estonia this Sunday, EKRE might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.5 growth since the last election. SDE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Kaja Kallas is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Reformierakond, SDE and Isamaa. With 51.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Emor. For this purpose, 1493 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (06.02.2023 - 09.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

101
SDE
8
K
17
E200
13
R
34
I
9
EKRE
20
Majority requires 51 seats
Reformierakond + E200 + Isamaa
56
Reformierakond + E200 + SDE
55
Reformierakond + EKRE
54
Reformierakond + Isamaa + SDE
51
Reformierakond + Keskerakond
51

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Estonia was conducted by Kantar Emor. The survey took place between 06.02.2023 and 09.02.2023 among 1493 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Reformierakond 31.8%, EKRE 18.6%, Keskerakond 15.8%, E200 12.1%, Isamaa 8.8%, SDE 8%, Elurikkuse Erakond 2.7% and Parempoolsed 1.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.