European Parliament Election Polls & Latest Voting Intentions

The frontrunner in the current PolitPro Poll Trend for the European Parliament election is EPP with 27.5%. This is followed by S&D: 14.6%, Patriots for Europe: 12.2%, ECR: 10.8%, RE: 8.3%, Europe of Sovereign Nations: 6.4%, Left: 6.1%, Greens: 4% and Non-Inscrits: 1.8%. Other parties secure 8.3% of the votes.

The PolitPro Poll Trend is more than just a snapshot. We aggregate data from all relevant polling institutes into a weighted average for the European Parliament election. Since the classic hypothetical election question ('Who would you vote for if an election were held next Sunday?') inherently fluctuates due to methodology, our poll trend provides a statistically robust data basis. It smooths out short-term outliers and reveals the real political dynamics over time.

By combining multiple data sources, we minimize the risk of random effects. Each survey is subject to a statistical margin of error (usually between 1.5% and 3%). Our poll check for the European Parliament precisely indicates whether a party's gain represents a sustainable development or merely falls within the statistical uncertainty of a single institute.

The calculation follows a transparent mathematical model: Current polls receive a higher weighting than older data. Furthermore, the historical predictive accuracy of the institutes is incorporated into the calculation to compensate for methodological biases. The result is a valid trend line that accurately reflects the party system of the European Parliament.

Based on the poll trend, 9 parties would enter the European Parliament: EPP with 199 representatives, S&D with 106 representatives, Patriots for Europe with 88 representatives, ECR with 78 representatives, RE with 60 representatives, Europe of Sovereign Nations with 46 representatives, Left with 44 representatives, Greens with 29 representatives and Non-Inscrits with 13 representatives.