European Parliament Election: Official Final Results

General election in European Parliament 2024

European Parliament Election Results: June 9, 2024

No Electoral Threshold

There is no electoral threshold for the European Parliament election.

Voter Turnout

Voter turnout was 64.8%.

Seat Distribution and Mathematical Majorities

Polling Accuracy: How Precise Were the Forecasts?

Comparison: Pre-Election Polls vs. Actual Election Results

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Harris x Toluna

The final poll by Harris x Toluna deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Ipsos

The final poll by Ipsos deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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ELABE

The final poll by ELABE deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Ifop

The final poll by Ifop deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Cluster17

The final poll by Cluster17 deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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OGB

The final poll by OGB deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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IBRiS

The final poll by IBRiS deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Verian

The final poll by Verian deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Norstat

The final poll by Norstat deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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OpinionWay

The final poll by OpinionWay deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Novus

The final poll by Novus deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Ninamedia

The final poll by Ninamedia deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Odoxa

The final poll by Odoxa deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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MRB

The final poll by MRB deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Pollster

The final poll by Pollster deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Interview

The final poll by Interview deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Alco

The final poll by Alco deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Pulse RC

The final poll by Pulse RC deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Publicus

The final poll by Publicus deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Opinia24

The final poll by Opinia24 deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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YouGov

The final poll by YouGov deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Medián

The final poll by Medián deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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BVA

The final poll by BVA deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Mediana

The final poll by Mediana deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Metron Analysis

The final poll by Metron Analysis deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Marc

The final poll by Marc deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Sagalytics

The final poll by Sagalytics deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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MaltaToday

The final poll by MaltaToday deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Alpha Research

The final poll by Alpha Research deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Promocija PLUS

The final poll by Promocija PLUS deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Taloustutkimus

The final poll by Taloustutkimus deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Trend

The final poll by Trend deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Intercampus

The final poll by Intercampus deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Prorata

The final poll by Prorata deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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CESOP-UCP

The final poll by CESOP-UCP deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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SocioMétrica

The final poll by SocioMétrica deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Kantar Emor

The final poll by Kantar Emor deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Opinion

The final poll by Opinion deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Társadalomkutató

The final poll by Társadalomkutató deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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NC Report

The final poll by NC Report deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Hamalgama Métrica

The final poll by Hamalgama Métrica deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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GESOP

The final poll by GESOP deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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IMR/Unic

The final poll by IMR/Unic deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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40dB

The final poll by 40dB deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Esprimi

The final poll by Esprimi deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Epinion

The final poll by Epinion deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Sondaxe

The final poll by Sondaxe deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Real-PR 93

The final poll by Real-PR 93 deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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GPO

The final poll by GPO deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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2x1 Komunikacije

The final poll by 2x1 Komunikacije deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Századvég

The final poll by Századvég deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Celeste-Tel

The final poll by Celeste-Tel deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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DYM

The final poll by DYM deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Cypronetwork

The final poll by Cypronetwork deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Market

The final poll by Market deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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STEM

The final poll by STEM deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Median

The final poll by Median deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Indikator Opinion

The final poll by Indikator Opinion deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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United Surveys

The final poll by United Surveys deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Noto

The final poll by Noto deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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CYMAR

The final poll by CYMAR deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Alapjogokért Központ

The final poll by Alapjogokért Központ deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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SWG

The final poll by SWG deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Prime Consulting

The final poll by Prime Consulting deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Nézőpont Intézet

The final poll by Nézőpont Intézet deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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RAI Consultants

The final poll by RAI Consultants deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Symmetron

The final poll by Symmetron deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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IFDD

The final poll by IFDD deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Data10

The final poll by Data10 deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Sigma Dos

The final poll by Sigma Dos deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Demopolis

The final poll by Demopolis deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Ixè

The final poll by Ixè deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Termometro Politico

The final poll by Termometro Politico deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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BiDiMedia

The final poll by BiDiMedia deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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EMG

The final poll by EMG deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Quorum – YouTrend

The final poll by Quorum – YouTrend deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Eumetra

The final poll by Eumetra deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Aximage

The final poll by Aximage deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Turu-uuringute AS

The final poll by Turu-uuringute AS deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Pulse Market Research

The final poll by Pulse Market Research deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Viavoice

The final poll by Viavoice deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Demoskop

The final poll by Demoskop deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Spectra

The final poll by Spectra deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Tecnè

The final poll by Tecnè deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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CIS

The final poll by CIS deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Peter Hajek

The final poll by Peter Hajek deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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SKDS

The final poll by SKDS deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Euromedia

The final poll by Euromedia deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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AKO

The final poll by AKO deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Analytica Market Research

The final poll by Analytica Market Research deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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Duplimétrica

The final poll by Duplimétrica deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
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NMS

The final poll by NMS deviated by an average of percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
0.72

INSA

The final poll by INSA deviated by an average of 0.72 percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
  • CDU/CSU
    -1.0
  • AfD
    +0.1
  • SPD
    +0.1
  • Grüne
    +1.1
  • BSW
    +0.8
  • FDP
    -1.2
1.02

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen

The final poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen deviated by an average of 1.02 percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
  • CDU/CSU
    ±0.0
  • AfD
    -1.9
  • Grüne
    +2.1
  • SPD
    +0.1
  • BSW
    +0.8
  • FDP
    -1.2
1.05

Institut Wahlkreisprognose

The final poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose deviated by an average of 1.05 percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
  • CDU/CSU
    +0.5
  • AfD
    -0.9
  • Grüne
    +3.1
  • SPD
    -0.4
  • BSW
    -0.2
  • FDP
    -1.2
1.25

Infratest dimap

The final poll by Infratest dimap deviated by an average of 1.25 percentage points per party from the actual European Parliament election results.
  • CDU/CSU
    -1.0
  • SPD
    +1.1
  • AfD
    -1.9
  • Grüne
    +2.1
  • BSW
    -0.2
  • FDP
    -1.2

Party Results: Vote Shares and Gains/Losses

Data Sources and Methodology

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ParlGov – Parliamentary Democracy Data

A comprehensive research database from the University of Bremen, documenting parties, elections, and governments for comparative analysis.

Additional Sources

Döring, Holger and Philip Manow. 2024. Parliaments and governments database (ParlGov).

CHES – Chapel Hill Expert Survey

The leading expert survey on party positions in Europe. Over 400 political scientists document party stances based on rigorous scientific criteria.

Additional Sources

Rovny, Jan, et al. “25 Years of Political Party Positions in Europe: The Chapel Hill Expert Survey, 1999-2024.”