Current election polls and polling data from 40dB

Latest voting intention survey by 40dB for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by 40dB, the parties received the following results: Partido Popular 33.2%, PSOE 30.1%, Vox 10.7%, Sumar 5.6%, Ahora Repúblicas 4.8%, Podemos 4%, SALF 2.5%, Junts per Catalunya 2.1%, CEUS 1.5% and Ciudadanos 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2000 people during the period 30.05.2024 - 30.05.2024.
2000 participants
28.05.2024 - 30.05.2024
40dB
PP
33.2
-0.3
PSOE
30.1
±0.0
Vox
10.7
-1.9
Sumar
5.6
-0.1
AR
4.8
+0.2
POD
4.0
±0.0
SALF
2.5
+2.5
JxC
2.1
-0.1
CEUS
1.5
-0.4
Cs
1.0
-0.1
Others
4.5
+0.2
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SALF
2
2.1%
Sumar
6
6.3%
AR
5
5.2%
POD
4
4.2%
PSOE
31
32.3%
CEUS
1
1%
JxC
2
2.1%
PP
34
35.4%
Vox
11
11.5%
Partido Popular + PSOE
67.7%
PSOE + Sumar + Ahora Repúblicas + Podemos
47.9%
Partido Popular + Vox
46.9%

81

PolitPro Score

40dB achieves a score of 81/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
Cs
0
94
6
POD
20
80
0
PP
53
44
3
PSOE
6
64
31
SALF
0
83
17
Sumar
32
63
5
Vox
11
75
14

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.