Current election polls and polling data from Aximage

Latest voting intention survey by Aximage for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by Aximage, the parties received the following results: Partido Socialista 30.6%, Aliança Democrática 26.6%, Chega 15.5%, Iniciativa Liberal 7.5%, Bloco de Esquerda 6.3%, LIVRE 5.2%, CDU 3.5% and PAN 1.6%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 801 people during the period 22.05.2024 - 22.05.2024.
801 participants
17.05.2024 - 22.05.2024
Aximage
PS
30.6
-0.7
AD
26.6
+1.8
CH
15.5
-2.9
IL
7.5
+1.7
BE
6.3
+0.4
L
5.2
+1.6
CDU
3.5
-0.6
PAN
1.6
-0.2
Others
3.2
-1.1
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
BE
6
6.3%
CDU
3
3.1%
L
5
5.2%
PAN
1
1%
PS
31
32.3%
IL
7
7.3%
AD
27
28.1%
CH
16
16.7%
0.0%

72

PolitPro Score

Aximage achieves a score of 72/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AD
60
30
10
BE
7
83
10
CDU
3
93
3
CH
20
66
15
IL
28
60
13
L
24
68
8
PAN
4
85
10
PS
22
60
18

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.