Current election polls and polling data from BVA

Latest voting intention survey by BVA for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by BVA, the parties received the following results: Rassemblement national 33%, Ensemble 16%, Parti socialiste 14%, La France insoumise 7.5%, Les Républicains 6.5%, Les Verts 5.5%, Reconquête 5%, Animaliste 2.5%, Parti communiste français 2.5%, Union populaire républicaine 1.5%, AR 1%, EAC 1% and Lutte Ouvrière 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1500 people during the period 05.06.2024 - 05.06.2024.
1500 participants
03.06.2024 - 05.06.2024
BVA
RN
33.0
+2.0
EN
16.0
-1.0
PS
14.0
+1.0
LFI
7.5
-0.5
LR
6.5
+0.5
EELV
5.5
-1.0
REC
5.0
-1.0
PA
2.5
+0.5
PCF
2.5
±0.0
UPR
1.5
+0.5
AR
1.0
±0.0
EAC
1.0
±0.0
LO
1.0
-0.5
Others
3.0
-0.5
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
LFI
8
8.3%
PCF
3
3.1%
PA
3
3.1%
PS
14
14.6%
EELV
6
6.3%
UPR
1
1%
EN
16
16.7%
LR
7
7.3%
RN
33
34.4%
REC
5
5.2%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble
51.0%
Ensemble + Parti socialiste + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Parti communiste français
Ensemble + Parti socialiste + La France insoumise + Les Verts + Animaliste
Rassemblement national + La France insoumise + Parti communiste français + Animaliste
49.0%

60

PolitPro Score

BVA achieves a score of 60/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
EELV
0
94
6
EN
6
78
17
LFI
17
83
0
LO
0
100
0
LR
6
89
6
PCF
0
100
0
PS
6
94
0
REC
0
82
18
RN
11
78
11
UPR
0
100
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.