Upcoming elections:

Current election polls by CESOP–UCP

Latest polls from CESOP–UCP

Rating of parties

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in CESOP–UCP pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 0.6 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, CESOP–UCP's average ranking is 2.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
1x the second best prediction