Current election polls and polling data from Cluster17

Latest voting intention survey by Cluster17 for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by Cluster17, the parties received the following results: Rassemblement national 31%, Ensemble 15%, Parti socialiste 13%, La France insoumise 9%, Les Républicains 7%, Reconquête 5.5%, Les Verts 5%, Animaliste 2.5%, Parti communiste français 2%, AR 1.5%, Les Patriotes 1%, Union populaire républicaine 1%, EAC 0.5%, ETÉ 0.5%, Lutte Ouvrière 0.5% and ND 0.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1503 people during the period 07.06.2024 - 07.06.2024.
1503 participants
06.06.2024 - 07.06.2024
Cluster17
RN
31.0
+31.0
EN
15.0
+15.0
PS
13.0
+13.0
LFI
9.0
+9.0
LR
7.0
+7.0
REC
5.5
+5.5
EELV
5.0
+5.0
PA
2.5
+2.5
PCF
2.0
+2.0
AR
1.5
+1.5
LP
1.0
+1.0
UPR
1.0
+1.0
EAC
0.5
+0.5
ETÉ
0.5
+0.5
LO
0.5
+0.5
ND
0.5
+0.5
Others
4.5
-95.5
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
AR
1
1%
LFI
10
10.4%
PCF
2
2.1%
PA
2
2.1%
PS
14
14.6%
EELV
5
5.2%
EN
16
16.7%
LR
8
8.3%
RN
32
33.3%
REC
6
6.3%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + La France insoumise
60.4%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Les Républicains
58.3%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble + Reconquête
56.3%
Rassemblement national + Ensemble
50.0%

?

PolitPro Score

Cluster17 achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
EELV
30
70
0
EN
52
48
0
LFI
10
25
65
LO
0
100
0
LR
28
60
12
PCF
0
100
0
PS
25
75
0
REC
0
65
35
RN
68
26
6

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.