Current election polls and polling data from Demopolis

Latest voting intention survey by Demopolis for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by Demopolis, the parties received the following results: Fratelli d’Italia 27%, Partito Democratico 22%, Movimento 5 Stelle 14.5%, Lega 8.8%, Forza Italia 8.7%, AVS 4.3%, SUE 4.2%, Azione 3.7%, Libertà 2.8% and PTD 2.2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2000 people during the period 23.05.2024 - 23.05.2024. The survey was commissioned by Otto e Mezzo.
2000 participants
22.05.2024 - 23.05.2024
Demopolis
Otto e Mezzo
FdI
27.0
-0.2
PD
22.0
+1.3
M5S
14.5
-0.5
Lega
8.8
+0.3
FI
8.7
+0.1
AVS
4.3
±0.0
SUE
4.2
-0.4
A
3.7
±0.0
L
2.8
±0.0
PTD
2.2
±0.0
Others
1.8
-0.6
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SUE
4
4.2%
M5S
15
15.6%
AVS
4
4.2%
PTD
2
2.1%
PD
22
22.9%
A
3
3.1%
L
2
2.1%
FI
8
8.3%
FdI
27
28.1%
Lega
9
9.4%
Fratelli d’Italia + Movimento 5 Stelle + Lega
53.1%

78

PolitPro Score

Demopolis achieves a score of 78/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
A
0
100
0
AVS
0
100
0
FI
10
89
1
FdI
1
96
3
Lega
3
93
4
M5S
1
82
17
PD
4
92
4

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.