Current election polls and polling data from Forsa

Latest voting intention survey by Forsa for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by Forsa, the parties received the following results: CDU/CSU 34%, SPD 16%, AfD 15%, Grüne 14%, BSW 4%, FDP 3%, Freie Wähler 3% and Die Linke 2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1008 people during the period 13.03.2024 - 13.03.2024. The survey was commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
1008 participants
12.03.2024 - 13.03.2024
Forsa
RTL / n-tv
Union
34.0
-1.0
SPD
16.0
+1.0
AfD
15.0
+5.0
Grüne
14.0
-6.0
BSW
4.0
+4.0
FDP
3.0
-5.0
FW
3.0
+3.0
Linke
2.0
-4.0
Others
9.0
+3.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
Linke
2
2.1%
SPD
17
17.7%
Grüne
15
15.6%
BSW
4
4.2%
FDP
3
3.1%
Union
36
37.5%
FW
3
3.1%
AfD
16
16.7%
CDU/CSU + SPD
55.2%
CDU/CSU + AfD
54.2%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
53.1%

82

PolitPro Score

Forsa achieves a score of 82/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
AfD
34
65
1
BSW
43
55
2
CDU/CSU
9
72
19
FDP
6
90
4
FW
6
88
6
Grüne
8
71
20
Linke
5
90
5
SPD
23
71
6

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Forsa for RTL & n-tv

The Forsa Institute was founded in 1984 and regularly conducts polls published by RTL and n-tv. Forsa says it uses computer-assisted telephone and personal interviews as well as online panels to gather opinions. In the past, there have been repeated controversies surrounding surveys conducted by Forsa due to inaccurate questions.