Current election polls and polling data from GESOP

Latest voting intention survey by GESOP for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by GESOP, the parties received the following results: Partido Popular 32%, PSOE 31.5%, Vox 8.1%, Sumar 5.8%, Ahora Repúblicas 5%, Podemos 4.4%, SALF 3.7%, Junts per Catalunya 2%, CEUS 1.8% and Ciudadanos 0.9%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1013 people during the period 31.05.2024 - 31.05.2024.
1013 participants
27.05.2024 - 31.05.2024
GESOP
PP
32.0
±0.0
PSOE
31.5
±0.0
Vox
8.1
±0.0
Sumar
5.8
±0.0
AR
5.0
±0.0
POD
4.4
±0.0
SALF
3.7
±0.0
JxC
2.0
±0.0
CEUS
1.8
±0.0
Cs
0.9
±0.0
Others
4.8
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SALF
3
3.1%
Sumar
6
6.3%
AR
6
6.3%
POD
4
4.2%
PSOE
32
33.3%
CEUS
1
1%
JxC
2
2.1%
PP
33
34.4%
Vox
9
9.4%
Partido Popular + PSOE
67.7%
PSOE + Ahora Repúblicas + Sumar + Podemos
50.0%
PSOE + Ahora Repúblicas + Sumar
45.8%

60

PolitPro Score

GESOP achieves a score of 60/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
Cs
16
68
16
JxC
0
100
0
POD
Not enough data available
PP
64
28
8
PSOE
32
40
28
SALF
Not enough data available
Sumar
0
17
83
Vox
26
43
30

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.