Latest voting intention survey by Institut Wahlkreisprognose for EU-Parliament
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose, the parties received the following results: CDU/CSU 30.5%, AfD 15%, Grüne 15%, SPD 13.5%, BSW 6%, FDP 4%, Die Linke 3%, Freie Wähler 2.5%, Die PARTEI 1.5% and Tierschutzpartei 1.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2000 people during the period 01.06.2024 - 01.06.2024.
2000 participants
27.05.2024 - 01.06.2024
Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Union
30.5
-0.5
AfD
15.0
-1.0
Grüne
15.0
±0.0
SPD
13.5
+1.0
BSW
6.0
-0.5
FDP
4.0
+0.5
Linke
3.0
±0.0
FW
2.5
±0.0
PARTEI
1.5
±0.0
Tier
1.5
-0.5
Others
7.5
+1.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
96
Majority requires 49 seats
Linke
3
3.1%
PARTEI
1
1%
Tier
1
1%
SPD
15
15.6%
Grüne
16
16.7%
BSW
6
6.3%
FDP
4
4.2%
Union
32
33.3%
FW
2
2.1%
AfD
16
16.7%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD
CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW
CDU/CSU + AfD + BSW
CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
CDU/CSU + Grüne
CDU/CSU + AfD
CDU/CSU + SPD
87
PolitPro Score
Institut Wahlkreisprognose achieves a score of 87/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
constituency forecasts
The institute Wahlkreisprognose is a young opinion research institute that regularly collects poll data on federal elections as well as state elections. In addition, the institute calculates data down to the constituency level. Among experts, however, the reliability of such fine surveys is disputed.