Current election polls and polling data from Kantar Emor

Latest voting intention survey by Kantar Emor for EU-Parliament

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in EU-Parliament conducted by Kantar Emor, the parties received the following results: Reformierakond 19.8%, SDE 19.5%, Isamaa 17.2%, EKRE 15.9%, Keskerakond 12.4%, Parempoolsed 6.1%, E200 3.8%, KOOS 3.2% and EER 0.7%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1489 people during the period 02.06.2024 - 02.06.2024.
1489 participants
27.05.2024 - 02.06.2024
Kantar Emor
R
19.8
+1.9
SDE
19.5
-5.1
I
17.2
+2.6
EKRE
15.9
+1.7
K
12.4
+0.9
P
6.1
-1.4
E200
3.8
-0.5
KOOS
3.2
±0.0
EER
0.7
-0.2
Others
1.4
+0.1

Seats in parliament

96
Majority requires 49 seats
SDE
20
20.8%
K
12
12.5%
E200
3
3.1%
R
20
20.8%
I
17
17.7%
P
5
5.2%
KOOS
3
3.1%
EKRE
16
16.7%
Reformierakond + SDE + Isamaa
59.4%
Reformierakond + Isamaa + EKRE
55.2%
Reformierakond + SDE + Keskerakond
54.2%
SDE + Isamaa + Keskerakond
51.0%
Reformierakond + Isamaa + Keskerakond
51.0%
Reformierakond + SDE + Parempoolsed + E200
50.0%

Rating of parties

Institute often rates E200 higher

In 54% of election polls, Kantar Emor rates E200 higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Keskerakond lower

In 46% of election polls Kantar Emor rates Keskerakond lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Reformierakond lower

In 34% of election polls Kantar Emor rates Reformierakond lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SDE higher

In 51% of election polls, Kantar Emor rates SDE higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
E200
7
39
54
EER
2
81
17
EKRE
27
49
24
I
28
64
8
K
46
40
13
KOOS
0
83
17
P
3
84
13
R
34
45
21
SDE
3
46
51

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.